The People’s Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional parliament election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling averages placing it at 42–44% support and projecting 53–56 seats, near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno’s administration benefits from sustained voter approval on regional governance and economic management, while the PSOE-A trails by roughly 20 percentage points at 20–24% and faces its weakest historical performance amid internal challenges and fragmented opposition. Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register single-digit shares, limiting any realistic path to altering the outcome. With voting less than 24 hours away and no major late-campaign shifts reported, trader consensus reflects the stability of these trends, though unexpected turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments could still influence final seat allocation in the 109-seat chamber.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertPP 99.8%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$111,565 Vol.
$111,565 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
PP
100%
PSOE-A
<1%
VOX
<1%
PA
<1%
AA
<1%
PP 99.8%
PSOE-A <1%
VOX <1%
PA <1%
$111,565 Vol.
$111,565 Vol.
17. Mai 2026
PP
$30,917 Vol.
100%
PSOE-A
$41,349 Vol.
<1%
VOX
$29,762 Vol.
<1%
PA
$5,124 Vol.
<1%
AA
$4,426 Vol.
<1%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The People’s Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional parliament election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling averages placing it at 42–44% support and projecting 53–56 seats, near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno’s administration benefits from sustained voter approval on regional governance and economic management, while the PSOE-A trails by roughly 20 percentage points at 20–24% and faces its weakest historical performance amid internal challenges and fragmented opposition. Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register single-digit shares, limiting any realistic path to altering the outcome. With voting less than 24 hours away and no major late-campaign shifts reported, trader consensus reflects the stability of these trends, though unexpected turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments could still influence final seat allocation in the 109-seat chamber.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volumen
$111,565Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.The People’s Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional parliament election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling averages placing it at 42–44% support and projecting 53–56 seats, near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno’s administration benefits from sustained voter approval on regional governance and economic management, while the PSOE-A trails by roughly 20 percentage points at 20–24% and faces its weakest historical performance amid internal challenges and fragmented opposition. Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register single-digit shares, limiting any realistic path to altering the outcome. With voting less than 24 hours away and no major late-campaign shifts reported, trader consensus reflects the stability of these trends, though unexpected turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments could still influence final seat allocation in the 109-seat chamber.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
This market will resolve according to the political party/coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Note: If a listed coalition splits prior to this election and does not contest this election as a unified coalition, the corresponding market will represent the party formerly in that coalition that holds the greatest number of seats in the Parliament of Andalusia at the time of the split.
Volumen
$111,565Enddatum
17. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The People’s Party (PP) holds a commanding lead in the Andalusian regional parliament election scheduled for 17 May, driven by consistent polling averages placing it at 42–44% support and projecting 53–56 seats, near or above the 55-seat absolute majority threshold. Incumbent president Juan Manuel Moreno’s administration benefits from sustained voter approval on regional governance and economic management, while the PSOE-A trails by roughly 20 percentage points at 20–24% and faces its weakest historical performance amid internal challenges and fragmented opposition. Vox, Por Andalucía, and Adelante Andalucía register single-digit shares, limiting any realistic path to altering the outcome. With voting less than 24 hours away and no major late-campaign shifts reported, trader consensus reflects the stability of these trends, though unexpected turnout fluctuations or last-minute developments could still influence final seat allocation in the 109-seat chamber.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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