Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, driven by recent polling showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters, including strong margins with independents and women. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in the July 21 primary but has yet to fully consolidate GOP support. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, a sizable campaign war chest, and early advertising, while also selecting a Republican-turned-independent running mate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with voter coalitions on border security, public safety, and state fiscal issues likely to influence final turnout in the competitive battleground state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$67,173 Vol.
$67,173 Vol.

Demokrat
88%

Republikaner
13%
$67,173 Vol.
$67,173 Vol.

Demokrat
88%

Republikaner
13%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Katie Hobbs holds a substantial lead in the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial race, driven by recent polling showing her ahead by double digits among likely voters, including strong margins with independents and women. Andy Biggs secured the Republican nomination in the July 21 primary but has yet to fully consolidate GOP support. Hobbs benefits from incumbency advantages, a sizable campaign war chest, and early advertising, while also selecting a Republican-turned-independent running mate. The November 3 general election remains the decisive date, with voter coalitions on border security, public safety, and state fiscal issues likely to influence final turnout in the competitive battleground state.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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