Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted league-leading goal tallies exceeding 60 across competitions and secured domestic honors, then added six World Cup goals for England that elevated his profile among voters. This combination of sustained scoring volume and international impact has shifted trader consensus sharply in his favor following the tournament's conclusion. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona contributions and Spain's strong World Cup run, while Rodri (8.5%) draws support from Manchester City consistency and midfield dominance. Kylian Mbappé (7.8%) and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4.3%) trail amid recalibrated expectations, with the voting window emphasizing individual output over team silverware in the current cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,106,841 Vol.
$29,106,841 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.4%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,106,841 Vol.
$29,106,841 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 club campaign at Bayern Munich, where he posted league-leading goal tallies exceeding 60 across competitions and secured domestic honors, then added six World Cup goals for England that elevated his profile among voters. This combination of sustained scoring volume and international impact has shifted trader consensus sharply in his favor following the tournament's conclusion. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.6% on the back of Barcelona contributions and Spain's strong World Cup run, while Rodri (8.5%) draws support from Manchester City consistency and midfield dominance. Kylian Mbappé (7.8%) and Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (4.3%) trail amid recalibrated expectations, with the voting window emphasizing individual output over team silverware in the current cycle.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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