Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 58.7% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted record goal tallies across the Bundesliga and domestic cups, followed by six World Cup goals that carried England to the semifinals. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.3% on the strength of consistent Barcelona output and Spain's tournament run, while Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.1%) reflect strong club and international contributions. Lionel Messi (2.0%) gained ground from late World Cup heroics. These probabilities capture trader consensus on the most recent club form, international impact, and historical award patterns following the 2026 World Cup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarry Kane 58.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.3%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.1%
$27,683,770 Vol.
$27,683,770 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 58.7%
Lamine Yamal 15.3%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 8.1%
$27,683,770 Vol.
$27,683,770 Vol.
Harry Kane
59%
Lamine Yamal
15%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Lionel Messi
2%
Ousmane Dembélé
1%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Pau Cubarsi
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the Ballon d'Or 2026 market at 58.7% implied probability after a standout 2025-26 campaign with Bayern Munich, where he posted record goal tallies across the Bundesliga and domestic cups, followed by six World Cup goals that carried England to the semifinals. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.3% on the strength of consistent Barcelona output and Spain's tournament run, while Rodri (8.5%) and Kylian Mbappé (8.1%) reflect strong club and international contributions. Lionel Messi (2.0%) gained ground from late World Cup heroics. These probabilities capture trader consensus on the most recent club form, international impact, and historical award patterns following the 2026 World Cup.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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