Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich that featured league-leading goal tallies exceeding 60 across competitions, Bundesliga titles, and additional domestic honors. His six World Cup goals for England further strengthened his position in post-tournament recalibration, elevating him well clear of challengers according to trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of strong Barcelona contributions in La Liga and Spain's tournament run, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.8% reflect sustained club midfield control and individual output respectively. The distribution underscores how club dominance combined with international scoring volume shapes current positioning ahead of final voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHarry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,112,213 Vol.
$29,112,213 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
Harry Kane 60.6%
Lamine Yamal 15.6%
Rodri 9%
Kylian Mbappé 7.8%
$29,112,213 Vol.
$29,112,213 Vol.
Harry Kane
61%
Lamine Yamal
16%
Rodri
9%
Kylian Mbappé
8%
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
4%
Ousmane Dembélé
2%
Lionel Messi
2%
Fabian Ruiz
1%
Erling Haaland
<1%
Michael Olise
<1%
Jude Bellingham
<1%
Declan Rice
<1%
Vitinha
<1%
Pau Cubarsi
<1%
Mohamed Salah
<1%
Vinícius Júnior
<1%
Pedri
<1%
Cole Palmer
<1%
Julian Alvarez
<1%
Raphinha
<1%
Bruno Fernandes
<1%
Lautaro Martinez
<1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
<1%
Enzo Fernandez
<1%
Federico Valverde
<1%
Désiré Doué
<1%
Achraf Hakimi
<1%
Luis Diaz
<1%
Dominik Szoboszlai
<1%
Rodrygo
<1%
Bukayo Saka
<1%
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 22, 2025, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harry Kane leads the 2026 Ballon d'Or market at 60.6% implied probability following a record-breaking 2025-26 campaign at Bayern Munich that featured league-leading goal tallies exceeding 60 across competitions, Bundesliga titles, and additional domestic honors. His six World Cup goals for England further strengthened his position in post-tournament recalibration, elevating him well clear of challengers according to trader consensus. Lamine Yamal sits at 15.4% on the back of strong Barcelona contributions in La Liga and Spain's tournament run, while Rodri at 8.5% and Kylian Mbappé at 7.8% reflect sustained club midfield control and individual output respectively. The distribution underscores how club dominance combined with international scoring volume shapes current positioning ahead of final voting.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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