Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 entirely at its September 9, 2026 event has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo were unveiled, with pre-orders and sales beginning shortly afterward; the standard model is now widely expected in spring 2027 alongside refreshed lower-cost variants. This shift reflects Apple’s move toward split annual releases—premium flagships in fall to maximize holiday visibility and average selling prices, with volume models following in Q1—to ease supply-chain pressure from advanced components like the A20 chip. No official confirmation has emerged on exact spring timing or feature changes, but historical patterns point to a March window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNEU
28. Feb. 2027
28. Februar 2027
32%
31. März 2027
74%
30. April 2027
81%
$192 Vol.
28. Februar 2027
$104 Vol.
32%
31. März 2027
$88 Vol.
74%
30. April 2027
$0 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 entirely at its September 9, 2026 event has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo were unveiled, with pre-orders and sales beginning shortly afterward; the standard model is now widely expected in spring 2027 alongside refreshed lower-cost variants. This shift reflects Apple’s move toward split annual releases—premium flagships in fall to maximize holiday visibility and average selling prices, with volume models following in Q1—to ease supply-chain pressure from advanced components like the A20 chip. No official confirmation has emerged on exact spring timing or feature changes, but historical patterns point to a March window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ET
Volumen
$192Enddatum
1. Mai 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 entirely at its September 9, 2026 event has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo were unveiled, with pre-orders and sales beginning shortly afterward; the standard model is now widely expected in spring 2027 alongside refreshed lower-cost variants. This shift reflects Apple’s move toward split annual releases—premium flagships in fall to maximize holiday visibility and average selling prices, with volume models following in Q1—to ease supply-chain pressure from advanced components like the A20 chip. No official confirmation has emerged on exact spring timing or feature changes, but historical patterns point to a March window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases the base iPhone 18 by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The base iPhone 18 means the standard model of Apple's iPhone 18 generation, marketed by Apple as "iPhone 18" with no further designation. The iPhone 18 Pro, iPhone 18 Pro Max, iPhone 18e, iPhone Air 2, the foldable iPhone, and any phone released under any other name will not qualify, regardless of when it is released.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase and delivery or pickup by the general public in the United States within the specified timeframe. An announcement, unveiling, or pre-order period alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$192Enddatum
1. Mai 2027Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 5:52 PM ETAbwickler
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to skip the base iPhone 18 entirely at its September 9, 2026 event has become the dominant driver of trader sentiment. Only the iPhone 18 Pro, Pro Max, and new foldable iPhone Duo were unveiled, with pre-orders and sales beginning shortly afterward; the standard model is now widely expected in spring 2027 alongside refreshed lower-cost variants. This shift reflects Apple’s move toward split annual releases—premium flagships in fall to maximize holiday visibility and average selling prices, with volume models following in Q1—to ease supply-chain pressure from advanced components like the A20 chip. No official confirmation has emerged on exact spring timing or feature changes, but historical patterns point to a March window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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