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icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
Politik·Kalifornien

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

icon for California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?
Politik·Kalifornien

California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?

5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
5% Chance
Polymarket
NEU
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The tight legislative calendar in California, combined with AB 2624’s current position in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after a May 14 do-pass vote, makes enactment by June 30 highly unlikely. The measure, which expands the Safe at Home address-confidentiality program to immigration support providers and restricts certain online disclosures, still requires full Assembly and Senate approval plus the governor’s signature. Republican opposition, centered on free-speech concerns and potential limits on public scrutiny of service providers, has drawn attention but has not altered the procedural path. With fewer than six weeks remaining before the deadline, the compressed timeline and standard bicameral process explain the market’s strong consensus against the bill becoming law on schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$460
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The tight legislative calendar in California, combined with AB 2624’s current position in the Assembly Appropriations Committee after a May 14 do-pass vote, makes enactment by June 30 highly unlikely. The measure, which expands the Safe at Home address-confidentiality program to immigration support providers and restricts certain online disclosures, still requires full Assembly and Senate approval plus the governor’s signature. Republican opposition, centered on free-speech concerns and potential limits on public scrutiny of service providers, has drawn attention but has not altered the procedural path. With fewer than six weeks remaining before the deadline, the compressed timeline and standard bicameral process explain the market’s strong consensus against the bill becoming law on schedule.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$460
Enddatum
30. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 16, 2026, 10:48 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if AB 2624 “Privacy for immigration support services providers” is passed by both chambers of the California State Legislature and is signed into law by the Governor, or otherwise formally becomes law in the State of California, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket, auf dem Händler „Ja"- oder „Nein"-Anteile kaufen und verkaufen, je nachdem, ob sie glauben, dass dieses Ereignis eintreten wird. Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit laut Community liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Wird „Ja" beispielsweise bei 5¢ gehandelt, schätzt der Markt die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Eintretens auf 5%. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen und Informationen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 16, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Die aktuelle Wahrscheinlichkeit für „California "Stop Nick Shirley Act" becomes law by June 30?" liegt bei 5% für „Yes". Das bedeutet, die Polymarket-Community glaubt derzeit, dass eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 5% besteht, dass dieses Ereignis eintritt. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit auf Basis tatsächlicher Handelsgeschäfte aktualisiert und liefern ein ständig aktualisiertes Signal dessen, was der Markt erwartet.

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