The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, created phantom income for many bettors and drew industry pushback through bills such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR Bet Act. Advocacy from groups including the American Gaming Association and public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from Dana White, have not produced floor action or committee advancement amid revenue projections and competing legislative priorities. With the change already in force and no standalone repeal or attachment to must-pass measures completed by mid-2026, traders assign an 84% probability that full deductibility will not be restored before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
Ja
$71,078 Vol.
$71,078 Vol.
To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify as a repeal, the cap must be entirely remove any cap limiting gambling loss deductions to below 100%.
Modifications—such as increasing the limit, delaying implementation or changing how it is calculated will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The 90% cap on gambling loss deductions, enacted as part of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 and effective for tax year 2026, created phantom income for many bettors and drew industry pushback through bills such as the FULL HOUSE Act and FAIR Bet Act. Advocacy from groups including the American Gaming Association and public calls for reversal, including a May 2026 letter from Dana White, have not produced floor action or committee advancement amid revenue projections and competing legislative priorities. With the change already in force and no standalone repeal or attachment to must-pass measures completed by mid-2026, traders assign an 84% probability that full deductibility will not be restored before 2027.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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