Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver lifting crude oil prices above $100 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These shocks have triggered sharp inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global drawdown in the second quarter and Brent averaging near $106 through June. OPEC+ production adjustments, including the UAE's exit and ongoing quota compliance, further constrain supply amid modest demand growth of under 1 million barrels per day. Traders are closely watching upcoming weekly inventory releases, potential conflict de-escalation, and any Fed signals on monetary policy that could influence the dollar and broader risk appetite. Recent price action reflects elevated volatility tied to these factors rather than sustained fundamentals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird Rohöl (CL) bis Ende Juni __ erreichen?
$17,110,903 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,110,903 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
67%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ 52 $
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
2%
↓ $45
1%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Markt eröffnet: May 13, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from Middle East conflicts, including U.S.-Iran tensions and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver lifting crude oil prices above $100 per barrel in mid-May 2026. These shocks have triggered sharp inventory draws, with the EIA projecting an 8.5 million barrel-per-day global drawdown in the second quarter and Brent averaging near $106 through June. OPEC+ production adjustments, including the UAE's exit and ongoing quota compliance, further constrain supply amid modest demand growth of under 1 million barrels per day. Traders are closely watching upcoming weekly inventory releases, potential conflict de-escalation, and any Fed signals on monetary policy that could influence the dollar and broader risk appetite. Recent price action reflects elevated volatility tied to these factors rather than sustained fundamentals.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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