Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger

icon for Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger

Brendan Blomeley 45%

Drew Jenner 42%

Dean Young 42%

Tony Mulder 41%

Polymarket
NEU

Brendan Blomeley 45%

Drew Jenner 42%

Dean Young 42%

Tony Mulder 41%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Brendan Blomeley

Brendan Blomeley

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Drew Jenner

Drew Jenner

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Dean Young

Dean Young

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for Tony Mulder

Tony Mulder

$0 Vol.

41%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Clarence mayoral race remains tightly contested among numerous independent candidates ahead of the October 26 local government election, with trader consensus reflecting fragmented support and no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Brendan Blomeley holds a slight edge near 48.5% implied probability, while challengers including Drew Jenner, Dean Young, and Tony Mulder sit in the low 40s amid a crowded field. A June petition urging Blomeley’s resignation highlighted ongoing community divisions over council governance, yet he has reaffirmed his independent candidacy and record on infrastructure and services. With limited major developments in recent weeks and no party endorsements or polling shifts, probabilities stay clustered as voters weigh local priorities such as waste management, bushfire preparedness, and urban growth. Late endorsements or candidate withdrawals could still alter the balance before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The Clarence mayoral race remains tightly contested among numerous independent candidates ahead of the October 26 local government election, with trader consensus reflecting fragmented support and no dominant frontrunner. Incumbent Brendan Blomeley holds a slight edge near 48.5% implied probability, while challengers including Drew Jenner, Dean Young, and Tony Mulder sit in the low 40s amid a crowded field. A June petition urging Blomeley’s resignation highlighted ongoing community divisions over council governance, yet he has reaffirmed his independent candidacy and record on infrastructure and services. With limited major developments in recent weeks and no party endorsements or polling shifts, probabilities stay clustered as voters weigh local priorities such as waste management, bushfire preparedness, and urban growth. Late endorsements or candidate withdrawals could still alter the balance before election day.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:58 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Clarence as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Verwandte

icon for Wird Matthew Garwood die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Launceston gewinnen?

Wird Matthew Garwood die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Launceston gewinnen?

54%
Ja
icon for Wird Marti Zucco die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Hobart gewinnen?

Wird Marti Zucco die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Hobart gewinnen?

44%
Ja
icon for Wird Sue Hickey die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Glenorchy gewinnen?

Wird Sue Hickey die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Glenorchy gewinnen?

50%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Brendan Blomeley" mit 45%, gefolgt von „Drew Jenner" mit 42%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 45¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger" ist „Brendan Blomeley" mit 45%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 45% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Drew Jenner" mit 42%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Clarence Mayoral Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.