Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley

icon for Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley
Politik·Bürgermeister

Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley

Michelle Dracoulis 54%

Casey Farrell 26%

Jess Burns 15%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NEU

Michelle Dracoulis 54%

Casey Farrell 26%

Jess Burns 15%

James Randall 4.0%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Michelle Dracoulis

Michelle Dracoulis

$477 Vol.

54%

icon for Casey Farrell

Casey Farrell

$135 Vol.

26%

icon for Jess Burns

Jess Burns

$171 Vol.

15%

icon for James Randall

James Randall

$138 Vol.

4%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis leads trader pricing in the Derwent Valley mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 27, 2026, supported by the council's recent return to financial surplus after budget measures and leadership changes. Recent failed no-confidence efforts and her established local profile reinforce this positioning ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Multiple challengers, including Casey Farrell, Jess Burns, and James Randall, hold lower implied probabilities due to limited campaign visibility and organized support so far. Tasmania's preferential voting system for mayoral contests keeps the field competitive, with the final candidate list and any late developments potentially altering the balance before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$921
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Michelle Dracoulis leads trader pricing in the Derwent Valley mayoral market as the incumbent seeking re-election on October 27, 2026, supported by the council's recent return to financial surplus after budget measures and leadership changes. Recent failed no-confidence efforts and her established local profile reinforce this positioning ahead of the September 21 nomination deadline. Multiple challengers, including Casey Farrell, Jess Burns, and James Randall, hold lower implied probabilities due to limited campaign visibility and organized support so far. Tasmania's preferential voting system for mayoral contests keeps the field competitive, with the final candidate list and any late developments potentially altering the balance before polling.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Derwent Valley Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$921
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 4:20 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...

Verwandte

icon for Wird Matthew Garwood die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Launceston gewinnen?

Wird Matthew Garwood die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Launceston gewinnen?

54%
Ja
icon for Wird Rick Shegog die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in West Tamar gewinnen?

Wird Rick Shegog die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in West Tamar gewinnen?

53%
Ja
icon for Wird Harvey Lennon die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Hobart gewinnen?

Wird Harvey Lennon die nächste Bürgermeisterwahl in Hobart gewinnen?

33%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Michelle Dracoulis" mit 54%, gefolgt von „Casey Farrell" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley" ist „Michelle Dracoulis" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Casey Farrell" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Gewinner der Bürgermeisterwahl im Derwent Valley" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.