The formation of the Jetten minority cabinet in February 2026, comprising D66, VVD, and CDA with 66 of 150 seats, has anchored trader consensus against dissolution of the Tweede Kamer through year-end. Following the October 2025 snap election triggered by the prior coalition's collapse over migration policy, the new government has secured passage of initial measures through opposition support without triggering no-confidence motions, party exits, or legislative standoffs in recent months. With the next scheduled general election set for 2029, parties face clear incentives to deliver on budget negotiations and housing-nitrogen priorities rather than risk another early vote. Absent major shifts in plenary dynamics or coalition fractures, traders assign only modest odds to formal dissolution by December 31, 2026.