The Dutch House of Representatives faces low odds of dissolution before year-end because Prime Minister Rob Jetten’s minority coalition of D66, VVD, and CDA has prioritized internal stabilization after November tax-plan clashes. Crisis talks produced commitments to renewed cooperation rather than immediate rupture, while a recent procedural motion requires parties to explore a new cabinet with existing seats before any self-dissolution vote. With the current term seated only in November 2025 and regular elections not due until 2030, coalition leaders have signaled preference for continuity over a fourth snap vote in five years. Any shift would require a parliamentary majority to trigger dissolution, an outcome traders view as improbable given ongoing negotiations and the absence of a no-confidence trigger.