Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term after his Socialist Party won a clear majority in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, giving him an 82-seat bloc in the 140-seat Kuvendi that has so far blocked any successful no-confidence moves. Persistent opposition-led protests in Tirana, including clashes in February and May 2026 over corruption allegations against senior officials and economic grievances, have kept pressure on the government, yet these demonstrations have not shifted parliamentary arithmetic or prompted institutional challenges to his mandate. Rama continues to advance EU accession reforms and maintains public focus on membership talks, reinforcing perceptions of institutional continuity. Traders assign the Yes side a 63.5 percent implied probability because any high-profile resignation, health development, or sudden coalition fracture before December 31, 2026, could still trigger removal despite the structural advantages of the current majority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term after his Socialist Party won a clear majority in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, giving him an 82-seat bloc in the 140-seat Kuvendi that has so far blocked any successful no-confidence moves. Persistent opposition-led protests in Tirana, including clashes in February and May 2026 over corruption allegations against senior officials and economic grievances, have kept pressure on the government, yet these demonstrations have not shifted parliamentary arithmetic or prompted institutional challenges to his mandate. Rama continues to advance EU accession reforms and maintains public focus on membership talks, reinforcing perceptions of institutional continuity. Traders assign the Yes side a 63.5 percent implied probability because any high-profile resignation, health development, or sudden coalition fracture before December 31, 2026, could still trigger removal despite the structural advantages of the current majority.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Volumen
$1,047Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term after his Socialist Party won a clear majority in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, giving him an 82-seat bloc in the 140-seat Kuvendi that has so far blocked any successful no-confidence moves. Persistent opposition-led protests in Tirana, including clashes in February and May 2026 over corruption allegations against senior officials and economic grievances, have kept pressure on the government, yet these demonstrations have not shifted parliamentary arithmetic or prompted institutional challenges to his mandate. Rama continues to advance EU accession reforms and maintains public focus on membership talks, reinforcing perceptions of institutional continuity. Traders assign the Yes side a 63.5 percent implied probability because any high-profile resignation, health development, or sudden coalition fracture before December 31, 2026, could still trigger removal despite the structural advantages of the current majority.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$1,047Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term after his Socialist Party won a clear majority in Albania’s May 2025 parliamentary elections, giving him an 82-seat bloc in the 140-seat Kuvendi that has so far blocked any successful no-confidence moves. Persistent opposition-led protests in Tirana, including clashes in February and May 2026 over corruption allegations against senior officials and economic grievances, have kept pressure on the government, yet these demonstrations have not shifted parliamentary arithmetic or prompted institutional challenges to his mandate. Rama continues to advance EU accession reforms and maintains public focus on membership talks, reinforcing perceptions of institutional continuity. Traders assign the Yes side a 63.5 percent implied probability because any high-profile resignation, health development, or sudden coalition fracture before December 31, 2026, could still trigger removal despite the structural advantages of the current majority.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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