**Nuevas Ideas is projected to secure a large majority of the 60 Legislative Assembly seats in the February 28, 2027, election, leaving only a handful of seats for opposition or smaller parties under the D'Hondt method across 15 constituencies, including the new overseas district.** Recent polls from Data Poll and IUDOP show NI capturing 75-86% of intended legislative votes and around 55 seats, consistent with its 2024 results and sustained support tied to security policies. This structure elevates competition for third place among minor parties such as Vamos, PCN, and PDC, which polls place in contention for the remaining 1-2 seats each, while ARENA and FMLN register minimal support. The September 30, 2026, TSE call for elections and ongoing candidate registration through November have not produced major shifts in these dynamics. Internal primaries across parties concluded with limited public detail on turnout or results, and opposition groups continue to operate with low polling numbers and constrained resources. Trader consensus reflected in the market prices captures this fragmentation, where small shifts in departmental vote shares or coalition signals could determine which minor party claims the third-highest seat total. The race remains open until final tallies, with no dominant non-NI contender emerging.