The market-implied odds reflect the verified total of Elon Musk’s X posts during May 2026 landing squarely in the 800-839 range, producing overwhelming trader consensus. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume posting cadence throughout the month, driven by ongoing commentary on technology, politics, and platform developments, with no major disruptions or extended absences altering the pace. Historical monthly activity patterns and real-time tracking data aligned closely with this bucket, leaving little room for variance. Scenarios capable of producing an upset—such as an unexpected surge above 1,000 posts or a sharp drop below 800—would require atypical events like a prolonged platform outage or sustained low-engagement period, neither of which materialized before the month closed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert800-839 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$6,029,817 Vol.
$6,029,817 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Nein
160–179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280–299
Nein
300-319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360-379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420-439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480-499
Nein
500-519
Nein
520-539
Nein
540-559
Nein
560-579
Nein
580-599
Nein
600-619
Nein
620-639
Nein
640-659
Nein
660-679
Nein
680-699
Nein
700-719
Nein
720-739
Nein
740-759
Nein
760-779
Nein
780-799
Nein
800-839
Ja
840-879
Nein
880-919
Nein
920-959
Nein
960-999
Nein
1000-1039
Nein
1040-1079
Nein
1080-1119
Nein
1120-1159
Nein
1160-1199
Nein
1200-1239
Nein
1240-1279
Nein
1280-1319
Nein
1320-1359
Nein
1360-1399
Nein
1400-1439
Nein
1440-1479
Nein
1480-1519
Nein
1520-1559
Nein
1560-1599
Nein
1600-1679
Nein
1680-1759
Nein
1760-1839
Nein
1840-1919
Nein
1920-1999
Nein
2000+
Nein
800-839 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$6,029,817 Vol.
$6,029,817 Vol.
<20
Nein
20-39
Nein
40-59
Nein
60-79
Nein
80-99
Nein
100-119
Nein
120-139
Nein
140-159
Nein
160–179
Nein
180-199
Nein
200-219
Nein
220-239
Nein
240-259
Nein
260-279
Nein
280–299
Nein
300-319
Nein
320-339
Nein
340-359
Nein
360-379
Nein
380-399
Nein
400-419
Nein
420-439
Nein
440-459
Nein
460-479
Nein
480-499
Nein
500-519
Nein
520-539
Nein
540-559
Nein
560-579
Nein
580-599
Nein
600-619
Nein
620-639
Nein
640-659
Nein
660-679
Nein
680-699
Nein
700-719
Nein
720-739
Nein
740-759
Nein
760-779
Nein
780-799
Nein
800-839
Ja
840-879
Nein
880-919
Nein
920-959
Nein
960-999
Nein
1000-1039
Nein
1040-1079
Nein
1080-1119
Nein
1120-1159
Nein
1160-1199
Nein
1200-1239
Nein
1240-1279
Nein
1280-1319
Nein
1320-1359
Nein
1360-1399
Nein
1400-1439
Nein
1440-1479
Nein
1480-1519
Nein
1520-1559
Nein
1560-1599
Nein
1600-1679
Nein
1680-1759
Nein
1760-1839
Nein
1840-1919
Nein
1920-1999
Nein
2000+
Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The market-implied odds reflect the verified total of Elon Musk’s X posts during May 2026 landing squarely in the 800-839 range, producing overwhelming trader consensus. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume posting cadence throughout the month, driven by ongoing commentary on technology, politics, and platform developments, with no major disruptions or extended absences altering the pace. Historical monthly activity patterns and real-time tracking data aligned closely with this bucket, leaving little room for variance. Scenarios capable of producing an upset—such as an unexpected surge above 1,000 posts or a sharp drop below 800—would require atypical events like a prolonged platform outage or sustained low-engagement period, neither of which materialized before the month closed.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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