Spain's position as FIFA world No. 1 and Euro 2024 champions drives trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability to win Group H, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Rodri despite right-back Dani Carvajal's recent toe fracture sidelining him ahead of the June 15 opener versus Cape Verde in Atlanta. Uruguay, ranked 17th after a strong CONMEBOL qualifying campaign under Marcelo Bielsa, holds 16.5% as the viable challenger with counterattacking prowess and Miami home games. Saudi Arabia (3.1%) eyes upsets akin to their 2022 Argentina stunner via Hervé Renard's compact tactics, while debutants Cape Verde (1.1%, ranked 69th) rely on defensive resilience but face steep odds against elite firepower. Final squads confirmed this week underscore Spain's unmatched depth and form.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSpanien 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi-Arabien 3.1%
Kap Verde 1.0%
$174,139 Vol.
$174,139 Vol.
Spanien
80%
Uruguay
16%
Saudi-Arabien
3%
Kap Verde
1%
Spanien 80%
Uruguay 16%
Saudi-Arabien 3.1%
Kap Verde 1.0%
$174,139 Vol.
$174,139 Vol.
Spanien
80%
Uruguay
16%
Saudi-Arabien
3%
Kap Verde
1%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain's position as FIFA world No. 1 and Euro 2024 champions drives trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability to win Group H, bolstered by a deep squad featuring Lamine Yamal, Nico Williams, and Rodri despite right-back Dani Carvajal's recent toe fracture sidelining him ahead of the June 15 opener versus Cape Verde in Atlanta. Uruguay, ranked 17th after a strong CONMEBOL qualifying campaign under Marcelo Bielsa, holds 16.5% as the viable challenger with counterattacking prowess and Miami home games. Saudi Arabia (3.1%) eyes upsets akin to their 2022 Argentina stunner via Hervé Renard's compact tactics, while debutants Cape Verde (1.1%, ranked 69th) rely on defensive resilience but face steep odds against elite firepower. Final squads confirmed this week underscore Spain's unmatched depth and form.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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