SpaceX’s sustained Falcon 9 cadence for Starlink satellite deployments to low Earth orbit, combined with ongoing Starship Version 3 flight tests, currently anchors trader sentiment around the 140-159 launch range. With roughly 50 orbital missions completed by late April and a projected 140–170 Falcon 9 flights for the year, reusability of first-stage boosters supports rapid turnaround intervals that historically enable 10–12 launches per month. Model consensus from launch schedules shows continued dominance of dedicated Starlink missions alongside crew rotations and cargo resupply, while Starship’s early V3 flights add incremental capacity but introduce schedule uncertainty due to developmental milestones. Upcoming regulatory approvals and range availability through summer will determine whether the pace accelerates toward 160 or more or settles within the leading bin.