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Politik·Krakao

Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger

icon for Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger
Politik·Krakao

Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Jan Hoffman 9.0%

Rafał Komarewicz 8%

Polymarket
NEU

Łukasz Gibała 66%

Monika Piątkowska 14%

Jan Hoffman 9.0%

Rafał Komarewicz 8%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Łukasz Gibała

Łukasz Gibała

$5,973 Vol.

66%

icon for Monika Piątkowska

Monika Piątkowska

$142 Vol.

14%

icon for Jan Hoffman

Jan Hoffman

$133 Vol.

6%

icon for Rafał Komarewicz

Rafał Komarewicz

$198 Vol.

8%

icon for Sławomir Pietrzyk

Sławomir Pietrzyk

$171 Vol.

9%

icon for Daria Gosek-Popiołek

Daria Gosek-Popiołek

$76 Vol.

8%

icon for Michał Drewnicki

Michał Drewnicki

$76 Vol.

7%

icon for Łukasz Wantuch

Łukasz Wantuch

$176 Vol.

6%

icon for Aleksandra Owca

Aleksandra Owca

$174 Vol.

5%

icon for Rafał Sonik

Rafał Sonik

$217 Vol.

5%

icon for Marianna Schreiber

Marianna Schreiber

$234 Vol.

5%

icon for Grażyna Zofia Świat

Grażyna Zofia Świat

$247 Vol.

5%

icon for Marian Banaś

Marian Banaś

$367 Vol.

4%

icon for Bartosz Bocheńczak

Bartosz Bocheńczak

$172 Vol.

1%

icon for Marta Ratuszyńska

Marta Ratuszyńska

$174 Vol.

1%

icon for Michał Klimek

Michał Klimek

$160 Vol.

1%

icon for Paweł Śliz

Paweł Śliz

$171 Vol.

1%

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. The recall referendum, which exceeded validity thresholds with overwhelming support for removal, has amplified anti-incumbent sentiment and consolidated support around Gibała’s “Kraków for Residents” committee, while the crowded field reduces any single challenger’s path to a first-round majority. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling dynamics ahead of the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$8,860
Enddatum
27. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.Łukasz Gibała holds the strongest position in the September 27 snap election triggered by the May 2026 recall of former mayor Aleksander Miszalski, as his local independent movement and prior near-win in 2024 give him broad name recognition and a base outside national parties. Recent IBRiS polling shows him ahead of fragmented rivals, including Monika Piątkowska (backed by KO and PSL), Michał Drewnicki (PiS), Daria Gosek-Popiołek (Left), and lower-polling independents or smaller-party figures. The recall referendum, which exceeded validity thresholds with overwhelming support for removal, has amplified anti-incumbent sentiment and consolidated support around Gibała’s “Kraków for Residents” committee, while the crowded field reduces any single challenger’s path to a first-round majority. Trader consensus prices reflect these structural and polling dynamics ahead of the vote.

The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.
Volumen
$8,860
Enddatum
27. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 6, 2026, 8:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Kraków mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 27, 2026, to elect the Mayor of Kraków, Poland. A runoff election is scheduled for October 11, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Kraków as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Kraków, including its election office and Municipal Electoral Commission.

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 17 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Łukasz Gibała" mit 66%, gefolgt von „Monika Piątkowska" mit 14%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 66¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 6, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 17 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" ist „Łukasz Gibała" mit 66%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 66% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Monika Piątkowska" mit 14%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Krakauer Bürgermeisterwahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.