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icon for Lacy und Marlon # der Todesfälle in der Kriegszone während des Marathons?
Sport·Minecraft

Lacy und Marlon # der Todesfälle in der Kriegszone während des Marathons?

icon for Lacy und Marlon # der Todesfälle in der Kriegszone während des Marathons?
Sport·Minecraft

Lacy und Marlon # der Todesfälle in der Kriegszone während des Marathons?

50-99 36%

<50 26%

100-149 16%

150-199 8%

Polymarket
NEU

50-99 36%

<50 26%

100-149 16%

150-199 8%

Polymarket
NEU

<50

$3,621 Vol.

26%

50-99

$1,342 Vol.

36%

100-149

$234 Vol.

16%

150-199

$94 Vol.

8%

200-249

$94 Vol.

5%

250-299

$94 Vol.

4%

300-349

$82 Vol.

3%

350-399

$82 Vol.

2%

400-449

$82 Vol.

2%

450-499

$82 Vol.

2%

500+

$82 Vol.

2%

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their chained gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring them to complete Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore in sequence on stream or restart. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths (36%) and under 50 (27%) reflects their above-average Fortnite experience but more casual Warzone play against heavy stream snipers and cheaters, leading to repeated attempts before a win. With the event roughly 19 hours underway and Warzone win rates estimated near 2.5% per lobby, the volume of deaths aligns with moderate grinding rather than extreme failure or quick success. Recent commentary on cheater density and the pair's prior marathon history reinforces this positioning in the implied probabilities.

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.

This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.

This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volumen
$5,889
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.twitch.tv/lacy

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.Lacy and Marlon launched their chained gaming marathon on September 1, 2026, requiring them to complete Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft Hardcore in sequence on stream or restart. Trader consensus around 50-99 Warzone deaths (36%) and under 50 (27%) reflects their above-average Fortnite experience but more casual Warzone play against heavy stream snipers and cheaters, leading to repeated attempts before a win. With the event roughly 19 hours underway and Warzone win rates estimated near 2.5% per lobby, the volume of deaths aligns with moderate grinding rather than extreme failure or quick success. Recent commentary on cheater density and the pair's prior marathon history reinforces this positioning in the implied probabilities.

Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft.

This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.

The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective.

If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon.

This market will remain open until the end of the marathon.

If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time.

The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.
Volumen
$5,889
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 10:52 AM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.twitch.tv/lacy

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Lacy and Marlon started streaming a gaming marathon on September 1, 2026. They will attempt a challenge to beat Call of Duty: Warzone, Fortnite, and Minecraft. This market will resolve according to the number of Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. The number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s official broadcast on Twitch at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon. If Lacy’s counter is not available at the time Lacy and Marlon complete or end the marathon, the number of deaths will be measured as the final value displayed on the cumulative in-game death counter on Marlon’s official broadcast on Twitch. If neither cumulative in-game death counter is available at the specified time, and at least one counter has not become clearly erroneous, this market will resolve according to the most recent data available from the cumulative in-game death counter on Lacy’s stream on Twitch. The value displayed on the counter will be used regardless of how it is calculated, so long as it represents cumulative deaths occurring across the marathon. It will not matter whether Lacy and Marlon complete the aforementioned challenge, nor whether they modify the rules of the challenge at any point, including by removing an objective. If both Lacy's and Marlon's counters become clearly erroneous or clearly do not represent the cumulative number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon, the official broadcast will be used as a resolution source to measure the number of in-game Warzone deaths during the entire marathon. This market will remain open until the end of the marathon. If the marathon ends or is cancelled, this market will resolve according to the number on the counter at that point. If the marathon is still ongoing as of September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the value displayed on Lacy’s counter at that time. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcasts and in-game death counters displayed on Lacy’s and Marlon’s official broadcasts on Twitch and YouTube according to the aforementioned hierarchy.

Verwandte

icon for Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 199 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?

Will Lacy and Marlon have between 100 and 199 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?

34%
icon for Haben Lacy und Marlon die Gaming-Herausforderung bis zum 14. September 2026, 23:59 Uhr ET gemeistert?

Haben Lacy und Marlon die Gaming-Herausforderung bis zum 14. September 2026, 23:59 Uhr ET gemeistert?

77%
Ja
icon for BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Knife Kills at the Event?

BLAST Open Porto 2026: 10+ Knife Kills at the Event?

13%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Lacy und Marlon # der Todesfälle in der Kriegszone während des Marathons?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „50-99" mit 36%, gefolgt von „<50" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 36¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 36% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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