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icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston

icon for Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston
Politik·Globale Wahlen

Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston

Matthew Garwood 54%

Rose Diamond 17%

Kyle Barrett 17%

Tim Walker 13%

Polymarket
NEU

Matthew Garwood 54%

Rose Diamond 17%

Kyle Barrett 17%

Tim Walker 13%

Polymarket
NEU
icon for Matthew Garwood

Matthew Garwood

$47 Vol.

54%

icon for Rose Diamond

Rose Diamond

$42 Vol.

17%

icon for Kyle Barrett

Kyle Barrett

$55 Vol.

17%

icon for Tim Walker

Tim Walker

$77 Vol.

13%

icon for Paul Mallett

Paul Mallett

$38 Vol.

5%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Launceston mayoral election, reflecting his established position on council since 2022 and elevation to mayor in 2023. Recent developments include a July 2026 court dismissal of his defamation action over social media claims, ongoing council debates on rates, infrastructure projects like the Princess Theatre redevelopment, and criticism of external decisions such as the AFL's shift on Hawthorn matches. Challengers including Kyle Barrett, who has positioned himself as pro-development and independent, along with sitting councillors like Tim Walker, contribute to a fragmented field ahead of nominations closing on September 21. The tight positioning stems from local priorities around economic growth, suburban services, and leadership style, with outcomes likely to hinge on formal candidate lists and preferential voting dynamics once ballots open.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$259
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Incumbent Matthew Garwood holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the October 2026 Launceston mayoral election, reflecting his established position on council since 2022 and elevation to mayor in 2023. Recent developments include a July 2026 court dismissal of his defamation action over social media claims, ongoing council debates on rates, infrastructure projects like the Princess Theatre redevelopment, and criticism of external decisions such as the AFL's shift on Hawthorn matches. Challengers including Kyle Barrett, who has positioned himself as pro-development and independent, along with sitting councillors like Tim Walker, contribute to a fragmented field ahead of nominations closing on September 21. The tight positioning stems from local priorities around economic growth, suburban services, and leadership style, with outcomes likely to hinge on formal candidate lists and preferential voting dynamics once ballots open.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volumen
$259
Enddatum
28. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

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Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Matthew Garwood" mit 54%, gefolgt von „Rose Diamond" mit 17%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 54¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Sep 3, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wahlsieger bei den Bürgermeisterwahlen in Launceston" ist „Matthew Garwood" mit 54%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 54% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Rose Diamond" mit 17%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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