Hong Kong's July minimum temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that limit overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. For July 21 specifically, forecast guidance points to overnight lows near 27°C under typical monsoon flow, though increased cloud cover or light winds could hold readings at 28°C or higher, while clearer skies might allow brief dips to 26°C. Trader sentiment remains split among these outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns two days out, with limited tropical cyclone influence expected in the immediate window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Hongkong am 21. Juli?
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
25°C 8.0%
$16,644 Vol.
$16,644 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
27°C 45%
28°C 27%
26°C 16%
25°C 8.0%
$16,644 Vol.
$16,644 Vol.
22°C oder weniger
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
16%
27°C
45%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 19, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong's July minimum temperatures typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat island effects that limit overnight radiative cooling. The Hong Kong Observatory's seasonal outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures through September 2026, consistent with long-term warming trends and current ENSO-neutral conditions. For July 21 specifically, forecast guidance points to overnight lows near 27°C under typical monsoon flow, though increased cloud cover or light winds could hold readings at 28°C or higher, while clearer skies might allow brief dips to 26°C. Trader sentiment remains split among these outcomes because short-term model runs show modest variability in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns two days out, with limited tropical cyclone influence expected in the immediate window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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