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Politik·Wahl

Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo

icon for Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo
Politik·Wahl

Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo

Demokraten gewinnen alle 65%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 26%

Republikaner gewinnen alle 7%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Demokraten gewinnen alle 65%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 26%

Republikaner gewinnen alle 7%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat 2.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Demokraten gewinnen alle

$96 Vol.

65%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat

$128 Vol.

26%

Republikaner gewinnen alle

$118 Vol.

7%

Republikaner gewinnen Gouverneur, Demokraten gewinnen Senat

$36 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Dems sweep leads trader consensus at 64.5% due to polling edges in both races after the June 9 primaries.** Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic gubernatorial nomination and holds consistent leads in general election surveys (typically 49-53% against Republican Robert Charles), reflecting Democratic strength in the open-seat contest following Janet Mills’ term limit. The Senate race remains tighter, with Troy Jackson (D) and incumbent Susan Collins (R) polling within the margin in multiple July surveys, but recent averages and market pricing tilt slightly toward Jackson in a toss-up environment. **The 25.5% price on Dem Gov/Rep Senate captures the realistic split scenario given Collins’ long-standing popularity and fundraising.** Republican sweep odds stay low at 7% because Charles trails significantly in governor polling, while the 2.7% on Rep Gov/Dem Senate reflects the narrow path for Charles combined with Jackson’s competitiveness. “Other” at 50% largely accounts for independent or third-party impacts in Maine’s ranked-choice system. Post-primary developments, including nominee consolidation and fresh polling, have reinforced these probabilities without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$379
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. **Dems sweep leads trader consensus at 64.5% due to polling edges in both races after the June 9 primaries.** Hannah Pingree secured the Democratic gubernatorial nomination and holds consistent leads in general election surveys (typically 49-53% against Republican Robert Charles), reflecting Democratic strength in the open-seat contest following Janet Mills’ term limit. The Senate race remains tighter, with Troy Jackson (D) and incumbent Susan Collins (R) polling within the margin in multiple July surveys, but recent averages and market pricing tilt slightly toward Jackson in a toss-up environment. **The 25.5% price on Dem Gov/Rep Senate captures the realistic split scenario given Collins’ long-standing popularity and fundraising.** Republican sweep odds stay low at 7% because Charles trails significantly in governor polling, while the 2.7% on Rep Gov/Dem Senate reflects the narrow path for Charles combined with Jackson’s competitiveness. “Other” at 50% largely accounts for independent or third-party impacts in Maine’s ranked-choice system. Post-primary developments, including nominee consolidation and fresh polling, have reinforced these probabilities without major shifts in the past month.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$379
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Maine that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Verwandte

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Werden die Republikaner die Gouverneurswahl in New Hampshire gewinnen und die Demokraten die Senatswahl in New Hampshire gewinnen?

69%
Ja
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Werden die Demokraten die Senats- und Gouverneurswahlen in Michigan komplett gewinnen?

56%
Ja
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Werden die Demokraten die Wahlen zum Senat von Alaska und zum Gouverneur gewinnen?

35%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten gewinnen alle" mit 65%, gefolgt von „Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat" mit 26%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 65¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist „Demokraten gewinnen alle" mit 65%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat" mit 26%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Maine Senat und Gouverneur Combo" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.