**Recent domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7), first surfacing publicly in early August 2026 amid his divorce and custody proceedings, have triggered widespread calls for his resignation or withdrawal from the 2026 reelection race.** His ex-wife and other accusers have leveled serious claims, prompting a House Ethics Committee investigation, public statements from GOP senators including Bernie Moreno (her father) and Jon Husted urging him to step aside, and growing party concerns over electability in the November general election against Democrat Brian Poindexter. Miller has denied the allegations, compared his situation to past political resilience, and vowed to remain on the ballot, with the Ohio GOP facing an imminent deadline around August 12 to potentially replace him on the ballot. These developments have shifted the once-safe Republican seat toward a more competitive race but have not yet produced a resignation or removal. Miller’s current term runs through January 3, 2027, and traders appear to view the odds of him departing Congress before December 31, 2026—via resignation, expulsion, or other means—as slightly below even, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability on “No.” Upcoming factors such as the ethics probe outcome, further polling shifts, or additional party pressure could still alter that consensus before the end of the year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert44% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
44% Chance
NEU
NEU
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7), first surfacing publicly in early August 2026 amid his divorce and custody proceedings, have triggered widespread calls for his resignation or withdrawal from the 2026 reelection race.** His ex-wife and other accusers have leveled serious claims, prompting a House Ethics Committee investigation, public statements from GOP senators including Bernie Moreno (her father) and Jon Husted urging him to step aside, and growing party concerns over electability in the November general election against Democrat Brian Poindexter. Miller has denied the allegations, compared his situation to past political resilience, and vowed to remain on the ballot, with the Ohio GOP facing an imminent deadline around August 12 to potentially replace him on the ballot.
These developments have shifted the once-safe Republican seat toward a more competitive race but have not yet produced a resignation or removal. Miller’s current term runs through January 3, 2027, and traders appear to view the odds of him departing Congress before December 31, 2026—via resignation, expulsion, or other means—as slightly below even, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability on “No.” Upcoming factors such as the ethics probe outcome, further polling shifts, or additional party pressure could still alter that consensus before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ET
Volumen
$91Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7), first surfacing publicly in early August 2026 amid his divorce and custody proceedings, have triggered widespread calls for his resignation or withdrawal from the 2026 reelection race.** His ex-wife and other accusers have leveled serious claims, prompting a House Ethics Committee investigation, public statements from GOP senators including Bernie Moreno (her father) and Jon Husted urging him to step aside, and growing party concerns over electability in the November general election against Democrat Brian Poindexter. Miller has denied the allegations, compared his situation to past political resilience, and vowed to remain on the ballot, with the Ohio GOP facing an imminent deadline around August 12 to potentially replace him on the ballot.
These developments have shifted the once-safe Republican seat toward a more competitive race but have not yet produced a resignation or removal. Miller’s current term runs through January 3, 2027, and traders appear to view the odds of him departing Congress before December 31, 2026—via resignation, expulsion, or other means—as slightly below even, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability on “No.” Upcoming factors such as the ethics probe outcome, further polling shifts, or additional party pressure could still alter that consensus before the end of the year.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Miller's departure as a member of the United States House of Representatives is officially announced by December 31, 2026 11:59PM ET. Otherwise it will resolve to "No".
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The departure will be considered to be announced when Max Miller, the United States House of Representatives, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Max Miller has ceased or will cease to hold the position of US Representative from Ohio's Seventh Congressional District. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify.
The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if specified conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives.
Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify).
Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify.
If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the specified date without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to "Yes" if major news agencies of record confirm the departure by the specified date.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Max Miller and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$91Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2026, 4:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent domestic abuse allegations against Rep. Max Miller (R-OH-7), first surfacing publicly in early August 2026 amid his divorce and custody proceedings, have triggered widespread calls for his resignation or withdrawal from the 2026 reelection race.** His ex-wife and other accusers have leveled serious claims, prompting a House Ethics Committee investigation, public statements from GOP senators including Bernie Moreno (her father) and Jon Husted urging him to step aside, and growing party concerns over electability in the November general election against Democrat Brian Poindexter. Miller has denied the allegations, compared his situation to past political resilience, and vowed to remain on the ballot, with the Ohio GOP facing an imminent deadline around August 12 to potentially replace him on the ballot. These developments have shifted the once-safe Republican seat toward a more competitive race but have not yet produced a resignation or removal. Miller’s current term runs through January 3, 2027, and traders appear to view the odds of him departing Congress before December 31, 2026—via resignation, expulsion, or other means—as slightly below even, reflected in the 55.5% implied probability on “No.” Upcoming factors such as the ethics probe outcome, further polling shifts, or additional party pressure could still alter that consensus before the end of the year.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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