Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers has established a commanding lead in the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year race through elite offensive production and plate discipline across his first full season. The 21-year-old shortstop carries a .286 average, .390 on-base percentage, 12 home runs, and strong walk-to-strikeout ratio in over 440 at-bats, translating to top-tier wRC+ and roughly 5.5 WAR that outpaces other AL rookies. His All-Star selection and consistent poll leadership since June reflect sustained form amid the Tigers' roster transition. Traders price him at 86.5% implied probability based on this gap, though late-season injury, service-time manipulation, or an unexpected surge from contenders like Munetaka Murakami could still alter the outcome before September.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertKevin McGonigle 87%
Munetaka Murakami 8.8%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.3%
Parker Messick 1.1%
$1,627,640 Vol.
$1,627,640 Vol.
Kevin McGonigle
87%
Munetaka Murakami
9%
Kazuma Okamoto
1%
Parker Messick
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Chase DeLauter
1%
Payton Tolle
1%
Travis Bazzana
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Samuel Basallo
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Sam Antonacci
<1%
Carson Williams
<1%
Max Clark
<1%
George Lombard Jr.
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Dylan Beavers
<1%
Kevin McGonigle 87%
Munetaka Murakami 8.8%
Kazuma Okamoto 1.3%
Parker Messick 1.1%
$1,627,640 Vol.
$1,627,640 Vol.
Kevin McGonigle
87%
Munetaka Murakami
9%
Kazuma Okamoto
1%
Parker Messick
1%
Trey Yesavage
1%
Chase DeLauter
1%
Payton Tolle
1%
Travis Bazzana
1%
Spencer Jones
1%
Samuel Basallo
<1%
Connelly Early
<1%
Carter Jensen
<1%
Colt Emerson
<1%
Carlos Lagrange
<1%
Walker Jenkins
<1%
Brice Matthews
<1%
Leo De Vries
<1%
Sam Antonacci
<1%
Carson Williams
<1%
Max Clark
<1%
George Lombard Jr.
<1%
Tatsuya Imai
<1%
Dylan Beavers
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 26, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kevin McGonigle of the Detroit Tigers has established a commanding lead in the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year race through elite offensive production and plate discipline across his first full season. The 21-year-old shortstop carries a .286 average, .390 on-base percentage, 12 home runs, and strong walk-to-strikeout ratio in over 440 at-bats, translating to top-tier wRC+ and roughly 5.5 WAR that outpaces other AL rookies. His All-Star selection and consistent poll leadership since June reflect sustained form amid the Tigers' roster transition. Traders price him at 86.5% implied probability based on this gap, though late-season injury, service-time manipulation, or an unexpected surge from contenders like Munetaka Murakami could still alter the outcome before September.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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