**Nashville SC’s commanding Eastern Conference lead on 60 points with a +34 goal difference and Inter Miami’s star-driven attack keep the Eastern side competitive, while Vancouver Whitecaps FC’s Western Conference position at 50 points and strong recent scoring output anchor Western hopes.** Multiple clubs remain within striking distance of top seeds as the regular season nears its close, with St. Louis City SC, FC Dallas, and San Jose Earthquakes posting solid records around 45–47 points and positive momentum. Inter Miami’s late-season inconsistency and draws have tempered their implied probability relative to the leaders, yet Lionel Messi’s presence sustains interest. The tightly grouped probabilities reflect the playoff format’s emphasis on current form, home advantage, and single-elimination volatility rather than regular-season points alone.