Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 MLS Cup, buoyed by Lionel Messi's record-setting pace—reaching 100 goal contributions fastest in MLS history during their recent 4-2 road win over Toronto FC—despite sitting third in the Eastern Conference with 22 points from 12 games. Vancouver Whitecaps FC (10.4%) and San Jose Earthquakes (5.5%) lead the Western Conference table at 26 and 29 points respectively, their 1-1 draw on May 9 highlighting intense parity after Vancouver dominated expected goals but couldn't convert. LAFC (9.5%) holds third West at 21 points amid a post-Concacaf Champions Cup semifinal skid, while Nashville SC (6.0%) tops the East at 24 points despite key injuries. With just 11-12 matches played in a 34-game season, early volatility and playoff expansion keep the race tightly contested across conferences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertInter Miami CF 16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.4%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.1%
$16,894,537 Vol.
$16,894,537 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
10%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
5%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Minnesota United FC
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Columbus Crew
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
Inter Miami CF 16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC 10.4%
Los Angeles FC 10%
Nashville SC 6.1%
$16,894,537 Vol.
$16,894,537 Vol.
Inter Miami CF
16%
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
10%
Los Angeles FC
10%
Nashville SC
6%
San Jose Earthquakes
5%
FC Cincinnati
5%
San Diego FC
4%
Seattle Sounders FC
4%
LA Galaxy
4%
New York City FC
4%
Minnesota United FC
3%
Orlando City SC
3%
Houston Dynamo FC
2%
Columbus Crew
2%
Toronto FC
2%
Chicago Fire FC
2%
Charlotte FC
1%
D.C. United
1%
New England Revolution
1%
Philadelphia Union
1%
Real Salt Lake
1%
Colorado Rapids
1%
Atlanta United FC
1%
Austin FC
1%
FC Dallas
1%
New York Red Bulls
1%
CF Montréal
<1%
Portland Timbers
<1%
St. Louis City SC
<1%
Sporting Kansas City
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Inter Miami CF at 15.5% implied probability to win the 2026 MLS Cup, buoyed by Lionel Messi's record-setting pace—reaching 100 goal contributions fastest in MLS history during their recent 4-2 road win over Toronto FC—despite sitting third in the Eastern Conference with 22 points from 12 games. Vancouver Whitecaps FC (10.4%) and San Jose Earthquakes (5.5%) lead the Western Conference table at 26 and 29 points respectively, their 1-1 draw on May 9 highlighting intense parity after Vancouver dominated expected goals but couldn't convert. LAFC (9.5%) holds third West at 21 points amid a post-Concacaf Champions Cup semifinal skid, while Nashville SC (6.0%) tops the East at 24 points despite key injuries. With just 11-12 matches played in a 34-game season, early volatility and playoff expansion keep the race tightly contested across conferences.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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