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Sports·Basketball

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

icon for NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?
Sports·Basketball

NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

$15M-$50M 68%

$4M-$10M 19.1%

$10M-$15M 13.6%

Under $4M 2.6%

Polymarket
NEU

$22,632 Vol.

$15M-$50M 68%

$4M-$10M 19.1%

$10M-$15M 13.6%

Under $4M 2.6%

Polymarket
NEU

$22,632 Vol.

Under $4M

$3,388 Vol.

3%

$4M-$10M

$1,659 Vol.

19%

$10M-$15M

$4,015 Vol.

14%

$15M-$50M

$10,499 Vol.

68%

Over $50M

$3,071 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.

Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volumen
$22,632
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 11:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.LeBron James' decision to leave the Lakers after exercising his 2025-26 player option and informing the team he will sign elsewhere for his record 24th season has created significant uncertainty around his next deal. At age 41, the four-time MVP is prioritizing contention over maximum salary, with reports indicating the Lakers will not extend a max offer and speculation centering on a veteran minimum or low-to-mid seven-figure annual value with a contender. Recent free-agency rumors involving teams like the Warriors add variables around roster fit, minutes, and incentives, while his stated goal of competing keeps open the possibility of a modest but above-minimum contract. These factors have kept implied probabilities tightly clustered across ranges as traders assess how much his championship pedigree and experience will command versus age-related decline.

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing.

Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.
Volumen
$22,632
Enddatum
31. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jun 30, 2026, 11:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 5 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „$15M-$50M" mit 68%, gefolgt von „$4M-$10M" mit 19%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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