Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing margins of 8 to 11 points ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican price aligns with Ayotte’s incumbency advantage in a state that elects governors every two years, combined with her stronger name recognition following a solid first-term victory. Warmington remains the presumptive Democratic nominee, yet polling averages place her in the mid-to-high 30s against Ayotte’s mid-to-high 40s. No major late shifts have altered the race trajectory, though the closely divided electorate and upcoming primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikaner
81%
Demokrat
17%
$16,343 Vol.
$16,343 Vol.
2. Nov. 2026
Republikaner
$7,417 Vol.
81%
Demokrat
$8,927 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing margins of 8 to 11 points ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican price aligns with Ayotte’s incumbency advantage in a state that elects governors every two years, combined with her stronger name recognition following a solid first-term victory. Warmington remains the presumptive Democratic nominee, yet polling averages place her in the mid-to-high 30s against Ayotte’s mid-to-high 40s. No major late shifts have altered the race trajectory, though the closely divided electorate and upcoming primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ET
Volumen
$16,343Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing margins of 8 to 11 points ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican price aligns with Ayotte’s incumbency advantage in a state that elects governors every two years, combined with her stronger name recognition following a solid first-term victory. Warmington remains the presumptive Democratic nominee, yet polling averages place her in the mid-to-high 30s against Ayotte’s mid-to-high 40s. No major late shifts have altered the race trajectory, though the closely divided electorate and upcoming primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$16,343Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling lead over Democratic challenger Cinde Warmington in the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial race, with recent surveys showing margins of 8 to 11 points ahead of the September 8 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus reflected in the 80.5% Republican price aligns with Ayotte’s incumbency advantage in a state that elects governors every two years, combined with her stronger name recognition following a solid first-term victory. Warmington remains the presumptive Democratic nominee, yet polling averages place her in the mid-to-high 30s against Ayotte’s mid-to-high 40s. No major late shifts have altered the race trajectory, though the closely divided electorate and upcoming primary outcomes could still influence final positioning before November 3.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertVerwandte
Werden die insgesamt abgegebenen Stimmen bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus New Hampshire zwischen 750.000 und 800.000 liegen?
40%
Ja
Werden bei der Zwischenwahl 2026 für den Senator aus Rhode Island insgesamt 450.000 oder mehr Stimmen abgegeben werden?
41%
Ja
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by September 30?
49%
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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