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Politik·Wahl

New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo

icon for New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo
Politik·Wahl

New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo

Reps gewinnen Gouverneur, Dems gewinnen Senat 68%

Dems räumen ab 12%

Republikaner räumen ab 11%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 1.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Reps gewinnen Gouverneur, Dems gewinnen Senat 68%

Dems räumen ab 12%

Republikaner räumen ab 11%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat 1.7%

Polymarket
NEU

Reps gewinnen Gouverneur, Dems gewinnen Senat

$1,796 Vol.

68%

Dems räumen ab

$1,282 Vol.

12%

Republikaner räumen ab

$588 Vol.

11%

Dems gewinnen Gouverneur, Reps gewinnen Senat

$38 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$3,704
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. New Hampshire's 2026 Senate and gubernatorial races feature an open Senate seat after Democratic incumbent Jeanne Shaheen's retirement and a Republican-held governorship with Kelly Ayotte seeking re-election. Recent polling averages show Ayotte leading Democratic nominee Cinde Warmington by roughly 6-8 points in the governor's race, consistent with forecaster ratings of Likely or Solid Republican. In the Senate contest, Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 11-13 point edge over leading Republicans such as John Sununu in most surveys, though some June and July 2026 polls indicate a tightening margin. These patterns support trader consensus around a Republican governor win paired with a Democratic Senate victory, while full sweeps remain lower probability given the divergent leanings of the two contests ahead of the September 8 primaries.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".

For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$3,704
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in New Hampshire that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Verwandte

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Ja
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Werden die Demokraten die Senats- und Gouverneurswahlen in Iowa komplett gewinnen?

37%
Ja
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36%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Reps gewinnen Gouverneur, Dems gewinnen Senat" mit 68%, gefolgt von „Dems räumen ab" mit 12%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 68¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 11, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 4 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo" ist „Reps gewinnen Gouverneur, Dems gewinnen Senat" mit 68%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 68% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Dems räumen ab" mit 12%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „New Hampshire Senat und Gouverneur Combo" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.