José Mourinho's dominant 94.5% implied probability stems from recent reports of a verbal agreement and final-stage negotiations with Real Madrid president Florentino Pérez, positioning the Portuguese coach to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at season's end. His prior successful spell at the Bernabéu, combined with an unbeaten campaign at Benfica and a clause allowing an immediate exit, has elevated him as the sole serious candidate amid the club's recent managerial turnover involving Carlo Ancelotti and Xabi Alonso. The wisdom of crowds in this prediction market reflects these confirmed developments rather than speculation. Still, a late shift could arise from Pérez's ongoing club elections, a Benfica contract extension, or unforeseen personal circumstances altering the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJose Mourinho 95.6%
Lionel Scaloni 1.5%
Massimiliano Allegri <1%
Zinedine Zidane <1%
$148,548 Vol.
$148,548 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
96%
Lionel Scaloni
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Jürgen Klopp
1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Unai Emery
<1%
Didier Deschamps
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Luis Enrique
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
Jose Mourinho 95.6%
Lionel Scaloni 1.5%
Massimiliano Allegri <1%
Zinedine Zidane <1%
$148,548 Vol.
$148,548 Vol.
Jose Mourinho
96%
Lionel Scaloni
2%
Massimiliano Allegri
1%
Zinedine Zidane
1%
Enzo Maresca
1%
Mauricio Pochettino
1%
Jürgen Klopp
1%
Andoni Iraola
<1%
Unai Emery
<1%
Didier Deschamps
<1%
Mikel Arteta
<1%
Luis Enrique
<1%
Julian Nagelsmann
<1%
Thomas Tuchel
<1%
Oliver Glasner
<1%
Robert De Zerbi
<1%
If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."
Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.
An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...José Mourinho's dominant 94.5% implied probability stems from recent reports of a verbal agreement and final-stage negotiations with Real Madrid president Florentino Pérez, positioning the Portuguese coach to replace interim head coach Álvaro Arbeloa at season's end. His prior successful spell at the Bernabéu, combined with an unbeaten campaign at Benfica and a clause allowing an immediate exit, has elevated him as the sole serious candidate amid the club's recent managerial turnover involving Carlo Ancelotti and Xabi Alonso. The wisdom of crowds in this prediction market reflects these confirmed developments rather than speculation. Still, a late shift could arise from Pérez's ongoing club elections, a Benfica contract extension, or unforeseen personal circumstances altering the timeline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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