**Jordan Staal has surged to 56.7% implied probability as the Conn Smythe favorite due to his historic offensive outburst in the ongoing 2026 Stanley Cup Final between the Carolina Hurricanes and Vegas Golden Knights.** The 37-year-old Hurricanes captain has scored in all five games of the series so far—including a two-goal performance in Game 4 and a tying goal in Game 5—tying an NHL record for consecutive Final games with a goal while leading the series in high-danger goals and scoring chances. This unexpected production from a typically shutdown, faceoff-dominant center (69% on draws in the series) has shifted market sentiment sharply in recent days. **Mitch Marner sits second at 25.5% after leading all playoff skaters with 10 goals and 29 points in 21 games for the Golden Knights.** He previously held the top spot with strong overall postseason numbers and a hat trick in one Final game, but Staal’s late dominance and Carolina’s series position have narrowed his edge. Teammates Taylor Hall (7.5%), Nikolaj Ehlers (6.2%), and Logan Stankoven (5.5%) remain distant options tied to Carolina’s run, while most other listed players sit at 0.1% as longshots with minimal recent impact in the Final. The closely contested series and Staal’s game-to-game momentum explain the current pricing distribution among traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNHL: Gewinner der Conn Smythe Trophy 2026
Jordan Staal 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
Taylor Hall 8%
Nikolaj Ehlers 5.6%
$160,024 Vol.
$160,024 Vol.
Jordan Staal
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
Taylor Hall
8%
Nikolaj Ehlers
6%
Logan Stankoven
6%
Jackson Blake
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Brett Howden
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Carter Hart
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
William Karlsson
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Ivan Barbashev
<1%
Brayden McNabb
<1%
Colton Sissons
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Jalen Chatfield
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
Jordan Staal 56.7%
Mitch Marner 26%
Taylor Hall 8%
Nikolaj Ehlers 5.6%
$160,024 Vol.
$160,024 Vol.
Jordan Staal
57%
Mitch Marner
26%
Taylor Hall
8%
Nikolaj Ehlers
6%
Logan Stankoven
6%
Jackson Blake
1%
Jack Eichel
<1%
Nikita Kucherov
<1%
David Pastrnak
<1%
Shea Theodore
<1%
Brett Howden
<1%
Linus Ullmark
<1%
Carter Hart
<1%
Frederik Andersen
<1%
Seth Jarvis
<1%
Quinn Hughes
<1%
Jake Oettinger
<1%
Dan Vladar
<1%
Sidney Crosby
<1%
Cale Makar
<1%
Anze Kopitar
<1%
Nick Suzuki
<1%
Alex Tuch
<1%
Dylan Guenther
<1%
Cutter Guanthier
<1%
Connor McDavid
<1%
Nathan MacKinnon
<1%
Sebastian Aho
<1%
Cole Caufield
<1%
Clayton Keller
<1%
Andrei Vasilevskiy
<1%
Martin Necas
<1%
Leon Draisaitl
<1%
Rasmus Dahlin
<1%
Rasmus Andersson
<1%
Noah Hanifin
<1%
William Karlsson
<1%
Mark Stone
<1%
Tomas Hertl
<1%
Ivan Barbashev
<1%
Brayden McNabb
<1%
Colton Sissons
<1%
Pavel Dorofeyev
<1%
Andrei Svechnikov
<1%
Jaccob Slavin
<1%
Jalen Chatfield
<1%
K'Andre Miller
<1%
Shayne Gostisbehere
<1%
Alexander Nikishin
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 17, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Jordan Staal has surged to 56.7% implied probability as the Conn Smythe favorite due to his historic offensive outburst in the ongoing 2026 Stanley Cup Final between the Carolina Hurricanes and Vegas Golden Knights.** The 37-year-old Hurricanes captain has scored in all five games of the series so far—including a two-goal performance in Game 4 and a tying goal in Game 5—tying an NHL record for consecutive Final games with a goal while leading the series in high-danger goals and scoring chances. This unexpected production from a typically shutdown, faceoff-dominant center (69% on draws in the series) has shifted market sentiment sharply in recent days. **Mitch Marner sits second at 25.5% after leading all playoff skaters with 10 goals and 29 points in 21 games for the Golden Knights.** He previously held the top spot with strong overall postseason numbers and a hat trick in one Final game, but Staal’s late dominance and Carolina’s series position have narrowed his edge. Teammates Taylor Hall (7.5%), Nikolaj Ehlers (6.2%), and Logan Stankoven (5.5%) remain distant options tied to Carolina’s run, while most other listed players sit at 0.1% as longshots with minimal recent impact in the Final. The closely contested series and Staal’s game-to-game momentum explain the current pricing distribution among traders.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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