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Sport·Schach

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

icon for Norway Chess 2026: Winner
Sport·Schach

Norway Chess 2026: Winner

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Vincent Keymer 13%

Alireza Firouzja 12%

Gukesh Dommaraju 10%

Polymarket
NEU

Magnus Carlsen 65%

Vincent Keymer 13%

Alireza Firouzja 12%

Gukesh Dommaraju 10%

Polymarket
NEU

Magnus Carlsen

$6,143 Vol.

65%

Vincent Keymer

$191 Vol.

13%

Alireza Firouzja

$151 Vol.

12%

Gukesh Dommaraju

$106 Vol.

10%

Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu

$197 Vol.

9%

Wesley So

$126 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen’s status as world number one and seven-time Norway Chess champion anchors his 64.5% implied probability, reinforced by strong recent classical results including victories in the 2026 Chess.com Open and FIDE Freestyle World Championship. The field of six elite grandmasters—featuring current world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, rising talents Alireza Firouzja and Vincent Keymer, along with Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu and consistent performer Wesley So—competes in a double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks in Oslo from May 25 to June 5. Keymer’s rapid rating climb to fourth globally and Firouzja’s prior runner-up finishes support their secondary market shares, while the Indian duo’s youthful momentum and So’s steady elite presence keep their probabilities competitive yet lower. Home advantage and Carlsen’s historical edge in the event continue to shape trader consensus ahead of the May start.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,914
Enddatum
6. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Magnus Carlsen’s status as world number one and seven-time Norway Chess champion anchors his 64.5% implied probability, reinforced by strong recent classical results including victories in the 2026 Chess.com Open and FIDE Freestyle World Championship. The field of six elite grandmasters—featuring current world champion Gukesh Dommaraju, rising talents Alireza Firouzja and Vincent Keymer, along with Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu and consistent performer Wesley So—competes in a double round-robin with Armageddon tiebreaks in Oslo from May 25 to June 5. Keymer’s rapid rating climb to fourth globally and Firouzja’s prior runner-up finishes support their secondary market shares, while the Indian duo’s youthful momentum and So’s steady elite presence keep their probabilities competitive yet lower. Home advantage and Carlsen’s historical edge in the event continue to shape trader consensus ahead of the May start.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,914
Enddatum
6. Juni 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 11, 2026, 9:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player that wins the Norway Chess 2026 tournament scheduled for May 25 - June 5, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the Norway Chess 2026 tournament per the rules provided by the event organizer, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the Norway Chess 2026 tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the event organizer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Norway Chess 2026: Winner" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 6 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Magnus Carlsen" mit 65%, gefolgt von „Vincent Keymer" mit 13%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 65¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Norway Chess 2026: Winner" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 12, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Norway Chess 2026: Winner" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 6 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Norway Chess 2026: Winner" ist „Magnus Carlsen" mit 65%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Vincent Keymer" mit 13%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Norway Chess 2026: Winner" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.