Early positioning in the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial race has produced a fragmented field, with Adrián de la Garza Santos holding the highest implied probability at 30.5% amid competition from Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and others. Recent July 2026 surveys show divided support across PRI, Movimiento Ciudadano, and Morena-aligned figures, including Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, reflecting ongoing nomination talks and limited consolidated polling data. This dispersion sustains tight trader pricing across multiple outcomes, as no candidate has secured broad party backing or consistent leads in battleground areas. Scheduled primary processes and national party alignments through late 2026 could consolidate votes and shift probabilities before the June 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAdrián de la Garza Santos 28%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 15.6%
Waldo Fernández González 11.1%
Andrés Mijes Llovera 10.1%
$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.

Adrián de la Garza Santos
28%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
16%

Waldo Fernández González
11%

Andrés Mijes Llovera
10%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
8%

Fernando Margáin Berlanga
7%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
6%

Félix Arratia Cruz
6%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales
6%

Daniel Carrillo Martínez
4%

Jesús Alberto Elizondo
3%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
3%

Carlos de la Fuente Flores
3%

Annia Gómez Cárdenas
3%

Arturo Salinas Garza
2%

Raúl Lozano Caballero
2%

Héctor García García
2%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%

Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%

Miguel Flores Serna
<1%

Martha Herrera González
<1%
Adrián de la Garza Santos 28%
Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 15.6%
Waldo Fernández González 11.1%
Andrés Mijes Llovera 10.1%
$17,926 Vol.
$17,926 Vol.

Adrián de la Garza Santos
28%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú
16%

Waldo Fernández González
11%

Andrés Mijes Llovera
10%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas
8%

Fernando Margáin Berlanga
7%

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo
6%

Félix Arratia Cruz
6%

Clara Luz Flores Carrales
6%

Daniel Carrillo Martínez
4%

Jesús Alberto Elizondo
3%

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez
3%

Carlos de la Fuente Flores
3%

Annia Gómez Cárdenas
3%

Arturo Salinas Garza
2%

Raúl Lozano Caballero
2%

Héctor García García
2%

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla
<1%

Judith Díaz Delgado
<1%

Miguel Flores Serna
<1%

Martha Herrera González
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early positioning in the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial race has produced a fragmented field, with Adrián de la Garza Santos holding the highest implied probability at 30.5% amid competition from Mariana Rodríguez Cantú and others. Recent July 2026 surveys show divided support across PRI, Movimiento Ciudadano, and Morena-aligned figures, including Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas, reflecting ongoing nomination talks and limited consolidated polling data. This dispersion sustains tight trader pricing across multiple outcomes, as no candidate has secured broad party backing or consistent leads in battleground areas. Scheduled primary processes and national party alignments through late 2026 could consolidate votes and shift probabilities before the June 2027 vote.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



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