OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, 2026, propelled FrontierMath scores to around 50% on Tiers 1-3 per third-party leaderboards, with its Pro variant hitting 52.4%, maintaining OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 43.8%. Trader sentiment reflects 67% implied probability for >=60% by June 30, fueled by Epoch AI's May 12 announcement of an AI-assisted review—flagging errors in one-third of problems using GPT-5.5 itself—potentially inflating scores post-human verification. Rapid six-week release cycles and competitive pressure from Google DeepMind's near-parity on Tier 4 heighten expectations for a GPT-5.6 or capability upgrade before deadline, though benchmark recalibration and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$34,665 Vol.
28. Feb. 2026
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$34,665 Vol.
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$24,917 Vol.
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$9,748 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, 2026, propelled FrontierMath scores to around 50% on Tiers 1-3 per third-party leaderboards, with its Pro variant hitting 52.4%, maintaining OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 43.8%. Trader sentiment reflects 67% implied probability for >=60% by June 30, fueled by Epoch AI's May 12 announcement of an AI-assisted review—flagging errors in one-third of problems using GPT-5.5 itself—potentially inflating scores post-human verification. Rapid six-week release cycles and competitive pressure from Google DeepMind's near-parity on Tier 4 heighten expectations for a GPT-5.6 or capability upgrade before deadline, though benchmark recalibration and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Volumen
$34,665Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, 2026, propelled FrontierMath scores to around 50% on Tiers 1-3 per third-party leaderboards, with its Pro variant hitting 52.4%, maintaining OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 43.8%. Trader sentiment reflects 67% implied probability for >=60% by June 30, fueled by Epoch AI's May 12 announcement of an AI-assisted review—flagging errors in one-third of problems using GPT-5.5 itself—potentially inflating scores post-human verification. Rapid six-week release cycles and competitive pressure from Google DeepMind's near-parity on Tier 4 heighten expectations for a GPT-5.6 or capability upgrade before deadline, though benchmark recalibration and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered.
The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$34,665Enddatum
30. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.5, released April 23, 2026, propelled FrontierMath scores to around 50% on Tiers 1-3 per third-party leaderboards, with its Pro variant hitting 52.4%, maintaining OpenAI's lead over rivals like Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.7 at 43.8%. Trader sentiment reflects 67% implied probability for >=60% by June 30, fueled by Epoch AI's May 12 announcement of an AI-assisted review—flagging errors in one-third of problems using GPT-5.5 itself—potentially inflating scores post-human verification. Rapid six-week release cycles and competitive pressure from Google DeepMind's near-parity on Tier 4 heighten expectations for a GPT-5.6 or capability upgrade before deadline, though benchmark recalibration and unannounced timelines introduce uncertainty.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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