Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections for at least four constituencies, including Pyeongtaek-eul in Gyeonggi and Buk-gap in Busan, amid concurrent local elections. President Lee Jae-myung's approval ratings near 60%, buoyed by economic gains in semiconductors, combined with the People Power Party's (PPP) candidate shortages and lingering fallout from the prior administration's martial law scandal, have solidified DP's incumbency edge. Recent candidate filings on May 14 and early polls showing DP leads in most districts underpin this positioning. Upsets remain possible via DP candidate scandals, PPP unification in swing seats, or depressed turnout favoring opposition strongholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertSüdkoreanische Nachwahlen: Party-Gewinner
Südkoreanische Nachwahlen: Party-Gewinner
Demokratische Partei Koreas (DP) 97.6%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.5%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Partei (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
4%

Demokratische Partei Koreas (DP)
98%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Partei (PP)
<1%

Reformpartei (RP)
<1%
Demokratische Partei Koreas (DP) 97.6%
People Power Party (PPP) 3.5%
Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP) <1%
Progressive Partei (PP) <1%
$44,223 Vol.
$44,223 Vol.

People Power Party (PPP)
4%

Demokratische Partei Koreas (DP)
98%

Rebuilding Korea Party (RKP)
<1%

Progressive Partei (PP)
<1%

Reformpartei (RP)
<1%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Markt eröffnet: Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most seats in the June 3, 2026, National Assembly by-elections for at least four constituencies, including Pyeongtaek-eul in Gyeonggi and Buk-gap in Busan, amid concurrent local elections. President Lee Jae-myung's approval ratings near 60%, buoyed by economic gains in semiconductors, combined with the People Power Party's (PPP) candidate shortages and lingering fallout from the prior administration's martial law scandal, have solidified DP's incumbency edge. Recent candidate filings on May 14 and early polls showing DP leads in most districts underpin this positioning. Upsets remain possible via DP candidate scandals, PPP unification in swing seats, or depressed turnout favoring opposition strongholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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