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icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
Technik·Big Tech

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

icon for SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?
Technik·Big Tech

SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?

NEU
31. Aug. 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

August 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

16%

December 31, 2026

$0 Vol.

70%

June 30, 2027

$0 Vol.

46%

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
30. Juni 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.SpaceX is accelerating Starship development toward its first Florida launch, with President Gwynne Shotwell recently outlining a path for Flight 13 potentially in July 2026, followed by monthly cadence and an initial East Coast flight from new pads at Cape Canaveral Space Force Station’s SLC-37 or Kennedy Space Center’s LC-39A before year-end. Infrastructure buildout, including multiple launch and landing towers plus a manufacturing site, continues in parallel with ongoing environmental reviews, while Flight 12’s May success with Block 3 hardware from Texas demonstrated incremental vehicle improvements. Traders are weighing these timelines against typical regulatory, construction, and test-flight slippage risks that have historically delayed ambitious targets.

If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary.

Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
30. Juni 2027
Markt eröffnet
Jun 17, 2026, 2:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If the SpaceX Starship successfully launches from a launch pad in Florida by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any renaming of the Starship vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome. The resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 3 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „December 31, 2026" mit 70%, gefolgt von „June 30, 2027" mit 46%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 70¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Jun 17, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 3 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" ist „December 31, 2026" mit 70%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 70% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „June 30, 2027" mit 46%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „SpaceX Starship Florida Launch by…?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.