Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWie hoch wird der durchschnittliche Eigenheimwert in New York City am 30. Juni sein?
606.000 $ - 613.000 $ 42%
613.000 $ - 620.000 $ 34%
>620.000 $ 13%
599.000 $ - 606.000 $ 10%
599.000 $ - 606.000 $
10%
<585.000 $
6%
606.000 $ - 613.000 $
42%
585.000 $ – 592.000 $
6%
592.000 $ - 599.000 $
5%
613.000 $ - 620.000 $
34%
>620.000 $
13%
606.000 $ - 613.000 $ 42%
613.000 $ - 620.000 $ 34%
>620.000 $ 13%
599.000 $ - 606.000 $ 10%
599.000 $ - 606.000 $
10%
<585.000 $
6%
606.000 $ - 613.000 $
42%
585.000 $ – 592.000 $
6%
592.000 $ - 599.000 $
5%
613.000 $ - 620.000 $
34%
>620.000 $
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Markt eröffnet: Jun 2, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for New York City (Parcl_ID: 5372594). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1000 square feet, which is the median home size in New York City. Parcl is set to publish this data on June 30, 2026. If no data for June 30 is released by July 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/42)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median sale prices in New York City reached $876,000 through May 2026 per Redfin data, reflecting 3.0% year-over-year gains amid mortgage rates near 6.3% and constrained inventory that continues to support values despite elevated carrying costs. Zillow’s latest home value index for the metro area stood at $817,745 as of May 31, 2026, up 4.2% annually, while broader economic signals including steady labor conditions and limited new supply have kept upward pressure modest rather than accelerating. With the June 30 resolution approaching, trader-implied odds clustering tightly around the $606,000–$620,000 range highlight uncertainty over whether seasonal or final data releases will tip the outcome higher or produce a modest pullback, underscoring how short-term inventory shifts and rate expectations remain key swing factors in this narrow contest.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen