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icon for Was wird der White River in Indianapolis während der Überschwemmungen im August 2026 erreichen?

Was wird der White River in Indianapolis während der Überschwemmungen im August 2026 erreichen?

icon for Was wird der White River in Indianapolis während der Überschwemmungen im August 2026 erreichen?

Was wird der White River in Indianapolis während der Überschwemmungen im August 2026 erreichen?

Über 20 Fuß 91.5%

17–20 Fuß 6.3%

Unter 14 Fuß <1%

14–17 Fuß <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Über 20 Fuß 91.5%

17–20 Fuß 6.3%

Unter 14 Fuß <1%

14–17 Fuß <1%

Polymarket
NEU

Unter 14 Fuß

$1,184 Vol.

<1%

14–17 Fuß

$1,085 Vol.

<1%

17–20 Fuß

$1,768 Vol.

6%

Über 20 Fuß

$3,512 Vol.

92%

This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.Heavy rainfall across central Indiana from August 11–17, 2026, produced extreme runoff into the White River basin, driving record or near-record crests at upstream gauges like Noblesville before propagating downstream. National Weather Service observations and forecasts at the Nora/82nd Street gauge near Indianapolis confirmed a peak of approximately 21.2 feet—well into major flood stage above the 19-foot threshold—aligning with the market’s 93% implied probability for over 20 feet. This outcome reflects verified stage data exceeding historical analogs short of the 1913 record of 22.4 feet. Additional intense rainfall or levee impacts could push levels higher, while earlier recession or gauge revisions remain low-probability factors given current NWS monitoring.

This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".

Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Volumen
$7,549
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 14.00 feet and below 17.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 17.00 feet and below 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is at or above 20.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.Heavy rainfall across central Indiana from August 11–17, 2026, produced extreme runoff into the White River basin, driving record or near-record crests at upstream gauges like Noblesville before propagating downstream. National Weather Service observations and forecasts at the Nora/82nd Street gauge near Indianapolis confirmed a peak of approximately 21.2 feet—well into major flood stage above the 19-foot threshold—aligning with the market’s 93% implied probability for over 20 feet. This outcome reflects verified stage data exceeding historical analogs short of the 1913 record of 22.4 feet. Additional intense rainfall or levee impacts could push levels higher, while earlier recession or gauge revisions remain low-probability factors given current NWS monitoring.

This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".

Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.
Volumen
$7,549
Enddatum
1. Sep. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 14, 2026, 2:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market resolves "Yes" if the maximum gage height recorded at USGS streamgage 03353000 (White River at Indianapolis, IN) between market creation and 11:59 PM EDT August 31, 2026 is less than 14.00 feet. Otherwise, this market resolves "No". Resolution is based on the peak gage height value recorded during the specified window as published by USGS at https://waterdata.usgs.gov/monitoring-location/USGS-03353000#dataTypeId=continuous-00065-0&period=P7D&showFieldMeasurements=true. USGS real-time data is provisional and subject to revision; the last provisional value published by USGS for the specified window as of 11:59 PM EDT September 1, 2026 governs, regardless of any USGS revision, approval, or finalization published after that time. For reference, NWS designates flood stage at this location as 16.0 feet. The primary resolution source is USGS data for streamgage 03353000; however, a consensus of credible reporting citing USGS data may also be used.

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Was wird der White River in Indianapolis während der Überschwemmungen im August 2026 erreichen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 4 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Über 20 Fuß" mit 92%, gefolgt von „17–20 Fuß" mit 6%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 92¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 92% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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