Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots secured by powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal, alongside recent playoff triumphs such as Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout victory over Italy and Sweden's advancement in late March. This depth reflects Europe's historical dominance—five of the last eight titles—and strong recent form from Euro 2024 champions Spain. South America's 20.5% stake stems from defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay qualifying amid CONMEBOL's grueling standings battle, highlighted by Ecuador's stingy defense. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) underscore their historical barriers despite expanded slots and qualifiers like DR Congo's upset over Nigeria, with final squads now emerging ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEuropa 73%
Südamerika 21%
Afrika 3.5%
Asien 2.9%
$2,113,902 Vol.
$2,113,902 Vol.
Europa
73%
Südamerika
21%
Afrika
3%
Asien
3%
Nordamerika
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 73%
Südamerika 21%
Afrika 3.5%
Asien 2.9%
$2,113,902 Vol.
$2,113,902 Vol.
Europa
$145,938 Vol.
73%
Südamerika
$209,293 Vol.
21%
Afrika
$999,447 Vol.
3%
Asien
$256,108 Vol.
3%
Nordamerika
$229,783 Vol.
2%
Ozeanien
$273,332 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots secured by powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal, alongside recent playoff triumphs such as Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout victory over Italy and Sweden's advancement in late March. This depth reflects Europe's historical dominance—five of the last eight titles—and strong recent form from Euro 2024 champions Spain. South America's 20.5% stake stems from defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay qualifying amid CONMEBOL's grueling standings battle, highlighted by Ecuador's stingy defense. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) underscore their historical barriers despite expanded slots and qualifiers like DR Congo's upset over Nigeria, with final squads now emerging ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$2,113,902Markt eröffnet
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots secured by powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal, alongside recent playoff triumphs such as Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout victory over Italy and Sweden's advancement in late March. This depth reflects Europe's historical dominance—five of the last eight titles—and strong recent form from Euro 2024 champions Spain. South America's 20.5% stake stems from defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay qualifying amid CONMEBOL's grueling standings battle, highlighted by Ecuador's stingy defense. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) underscore their historical barriers despite expanded slots and qualifiers like DR Congo's upset over Nigeria, with final squads now emerging ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,113,902Markt eröffnet
Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Europe at 72.5% implied probability to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, driven by UEFA's 16 qualification slots secured by powerhouses like France, Spain, Germany, England, Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal, alongside recent playoff triumphs such as Bosnia & Herzegovina's penalty shootout victory over Italy and Sweden's advancement in late March. This depth reflects Europe's historical dominance—five of the last eight titles—and strong recent form from Euro 2024 champions Spain. South America's 20.5% stake stems from defending champions Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Colombia, Ecuador, and Paraguay qualifying amid CONMEBOL's grueling standings battle, highlighted by Ecuador's stingy defense. Lower odds for Africa (3.5%), Asia (2.9%), North America (2.3% including hosts USA, Canada, Mexico), and Oceania (0.3%) underscore their historical barriers despite expanded slots and qualifiers like DR Congo's upset over Nigeria, with final squads now emerging ahead of the June 11 kickoff.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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