Europe leads the market at 70.5% implied probability because its national teams draw from the deepest talent pools in the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, and Serie A, producing consistent depth across multiple contenders. South America sits at 21.5% on the strength of Argentina’s recent title and Brazil’s historical pedigree, though fewer elite squads limit its overall edge. Asia, Africa, and North America hover near 3% each, reflecting limited success in prior tournaments and thinner rosters despite North America’s 2026 hosting advantage. Oceania remains at 0.3% given its structural gap in player development and competitive results. These probabilities align with long-term patterns of European dominance in World Cup outcomes and the current form of leading federations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertEuropa 71%
Südamerika 22%
Asien 2.9%
Afrika 2.9%
$3,356,668 Vol.
$3,356,668 Vol.
Europa
71%
Südamerika
22%
Asien
3%
Afrika
3%
Nordamerika
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
Europa 71%
Südamerika 22%
Asien 2.9%
Afrika 2.9%
$3,356,668 Vol.
$3,356,668 Vol.
Europa
71%
Südamerika
22%
Asien
3%
Afrika
3%
Nordamerika
2%
Ozeanien
<1%
For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 8, 2025, 3:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (https://worldpopulationreview.com/country-rankings/list-of-countries-by-continent).
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/) and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Europe leads the market at 70.5% implied probability because its national teams draw from the deepest talent pools in the Premier League, La Liga, Bundesliga, and Serie A, producing consistent depth across multiple contenders. South America sits at 21.5% on the strength of Argentina’s recent title and Brazil’s historical pedigree, though fewer elite squads limit its overall edge. Asia, Africa, and North America hover near 3% each, reflecting limited success in prior tournaments and thinner rosters despite North America’s 2026 hosting advantage. Oceania remains at 0.3% given its structural gap in player development and competitive results. These probabilities align with long-term patterns of European dominance in World Cup outcomes and the current form of leading federations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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