The ongoing Bundibugyo strain outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in mid-May 2026, is the dominant driver of trader sentiment on countries reporting Ebola cases this year. This fast-moving epidemic has already generated over 5,000 confirmed cases and 2,300-plus deaths, surpassing prior DRC records and expanding across multiple provinces amid conflict and mobility challenges. Imported cases have surfaced in Uganda, which recently declared itself free after swift containment, and one confirmed instance in France, with limited reports of treatment in Germany. Traders watch closely for further cross-border spread or new detections, as contact tracing gaps and the lack of a ready vaccine for this variant keep uncertainty elevated ahead of year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$33,965 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
27%
Burundi
31%
United States
24%
Canada
28%
Kenya
49%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
35%
China
18%
$33,965 Vol.
South Sudan
66%
Rwanda
27%
Burundi
31%
United States
24%
Canada
28%
Kenya
49%
India
14%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
21%
Ethiopia
49%
Somalia
35%
China
18%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Markt eröffnet: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo strain outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, declared in mid-May 2026, is the dominant driver of trader sentiment on countries reporting Ebola cases this year. This fast-moving epidemic has already generated over 5,000 confirmed cases and 2,300-plus deaths, surpassing prior DRC records and expanding across multiple provinces amid conflict and mobility challenges. Imported cases have surfaced in Uganda, which recently declared itself free after swift containment, and one confirmed instance in France, with limited reports of treatment in Germany. Traders watch closely for further cross-border spread or new detections, as contact tracing gaps and the lack of a ready vaccine for this variant keep uncertainty elevated ahead of year-end resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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