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icon for Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?

icon for Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?
Politik·Umfrage

Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?

Polymarket
NEU
Polymarket
NEU
icon for Demokraten

Demokraten

$0 Vol.

48%

icon for Republikaner

Republikaner

$0 Vol.

47%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women voters remain closely divided ahead of the 2026 midterms, with recent generic ballot surveys showing narrow or shifting margins between the parties. Subgroup differences sustain the balance: college-educated and non-Christian white women lean Democratic in several polls, while white Christian and non-college women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Broader gender-gap trends and economic sentiment have produced modest Democratic edges among women overall, yet white registered voters as a group still tilt Republican. Trader consensus around even odds reflects this persistent split, uncertainty over turnout among moderate and independent white women, and limited major catalysts in recent weeks that could widen the gap before November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".White women voters remain closely divided ahead of the 2026 midterms, with recent generic ballot surveys showing narrow or shifting margins between the parties. Subgroup differences sustain the balance: college-educated and non-Christian white women lean Democratic in several polls, while white Christian and non-college women continue favoring Republicans at higher rates. Broader gender-gap trends and economic sentiment have produced modest Democratic edges among women overall, yet white registered voters as a group still tilt Republican. Trader consensus around even odds reflects this persistent split, uncertainty over turnout among moderate and independent white women, and limited major catalysts in recent weeks that could widen the gap before November.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.

This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.

In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically.

In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.

In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.

If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volumen
$0
Enddatum
6. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Sep 3, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party that wins the greatest share of white women in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN. This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026. In the event of a tie for first place, this market will resolve based on the party, among those tied, whose name comes first alphabetically. In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below. In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC. If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Verwandte

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Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen ältere Frauen gewinnen?

49%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen die Latino-Männer für sich gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen die Latino-Männer für sich gewinnen?

69%
Ja
icon for Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

Werden die Demokraten bei den Zwischenwahlen junge Männer gewinnen?

73%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Partei gewinnt weiße Frauen in den Midterms?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Demokraten" mit 48%, gefolgt von „Republikaner" mit 47%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 48¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 48% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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