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icon for Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?
Politik·Senat

Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?

icon for Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?
Politik·Senat

Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?

$64,438 Vol.

3. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$64,438 Vol.

Polymarket

Texas

$7,132 Vol.

83%

Alaska

$2,789 Vol.

72%

Kansas

$556 Vol.

69%

Michigan

$2,743 Vol.

65%

Iowa

$5,657 Vol.

62%

Ohio (Sonderwahl)

$3,967 Vol.

56%

Maine

$1,119 Vol.

49%

Nebraska

$3,719 Vol.

46%

New Hampshire

$2,402 Vol.

38%

South Carolina

$109 Vol.

41%

North Carolina

$5,817 Vol.

27%

Florida (Sonderfall)

$2,450 Vol.

24%

Georgia

$2,057 Vol.

20%

Minnesota

$10,319 Vol.

19%

New Mexico

$6,665 Vol.

13%

Montana

$2,990 Vol.

9%

Colorado

$2,599 Vol.

4%

Virginia

$1,344 Vol.

4%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with margins near or inside 5 points, driven by a national environment favoring Democrats. Recent polling aggregates show Democratic gains in Texas (Talarico leading Paxton), Ohio (Brown ahead of Husted), Michigan (open-seat matchup between El-Sayed and Rogers), Maine (Collins versus Jackson), Alaska (Sullivan versus Peltola), and Iowa, reflecting an 8-point generic ballot edge and voter concerns over economic conditions. Open seats and retirements have expanded the battlefield, while candidate recruitment and primary outcomes have produced viable challengers in Republican-leaning states. With roughly seven weeks until November 3 and early voting underway in multiple states, these races hinge on turnout dynamics in battlegrounds and any late shifts in the national mood.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$64,438
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several 2026 Senate contests remain highly competitive with margins near or inside 5 points, driven by a national environment favoring Democrats. Recent polling aggregates show Democratic gains in Texas (Talarico leading Paxton), Ohio (Brown ahead of Husted), Michigan (open-seat matchup between El-Sayed and Rogers), Maine (Collins versus Jackson), Alaska (Sullivan versus Peltola), and Iowa, reflecting an 8-point generic ballot edge and voter concerns over economic conditions. Open seats and retirements have expanded the battlefield, while candidate recruitment and primary outcomes have produced viable challengers in Republican-leaning states. With roughly seven weeks until November 3 and early voting underway in multiple states, these races hinge on turnout dynamics in battlegrounds and any late shifts in the national mood.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$64,438
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Abwickler

0x65070BE91...

Verwandte

icon for Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?

31%
icon for Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

Will Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?

15%
icon for Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

Will any US Federal or Statewide Midterm Election be within 0.01%?

25%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 18 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Texas" mit 83%, gefolgt von „Alaska" mit 72%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 83¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $64.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jul 29, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Welche Senatsrennen werden innerhalb von 5 % stattfinden?" ist „Texas" mit 83%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 83% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Alaska" mit 72%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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