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icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$246,754 Vol.

3. Nov. 2026
Polymarket

$246,754 Vol.

Polymarket

California

$11,792 Vol.

95%

Texas

$3,356 Vol.

95%

North Carolina

$8,544 Vol.

97%

Ohio

$5,655 Vol.

93%

Utah

$58,474 Vol.

85%

Florida

$1,177 Vol.

58%

Louisiana

$15,515 Vol.

91%

Missouri

$3,794 Vol.

84%

Virginia

$6,339 Vol.

16%

Alabama

$13,838 Vol.

89%

South Carolina

$20,585 Vol.

72%

Georgia

$1,945 Vol.

12%

Kansas

$5,012 Vol.

8%

New Jersey

$5,044 Vol.

5%

Indiana

$26,094 Vol.

11%

Washington

$5,135 Vol.

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Vol.

7%

Illinois

$9,377 Vol.

3%

Minnesota

$9,318 Vol.

3%

New York

$8,026 Vol.

13%

Maryland

$6,044 Vol.

4%

Wisconsin

$15,208 Vol.

14%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$246,754
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms in states like California (95%), Texas (95%), North Carolina (97%), and Ohio (94%), reflecting enacted redraws post-2024 elections amid mid-decade battles spurred by the Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidating race-based gerrymanders under the Voting Rights Act. Recent catalysts include Florida's governor signing a new map on May 4 and Tennessee's on May 7; Virginia's Supreme Court striking down a voter-approved Democratic plan on May 8, slashing odds to 12%; SCOTUS lifting Alabama injunctions on May 11 to enable changes (89%); and South Carolina lawmakers rejecting redistricting on May 12 (60%). Ongoing Louisiana litigation and potential SCOTUS appeals could shift probabilities before November primaries and generals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$246,754
Enddatum
3. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 22 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „North Carolina" mit 97%, gefolgt von „California" mit 95%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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