FIFA officials, including President Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite U.S.-Iran tensions and travel concerns, with the team securing a Mexico base camp and group-stage fixtures intact. Italy's sports minister rejected any replacement proposal as inappropriate, noting qualification occurs on the pitch, while FIFA sources dismissed the idea outright. No formal withdrawal or FIFA disciplinary action has materialized, and alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia lack procedural standing under confederation rules. This official stance underpins the market's strong consensus on no change. A late Iranian pullout due to escalating geopolitical issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen discussion, though recent ticket and logistics updates show continued preparation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNo Replacement 96.2%
Other 2.5%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
$71,801 Vol.
$71,801 Vol.

No Replacement
96%

Other
3%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%

UAE
<1%
No Replacement 96.2%
Other 2.5%
Italy <1%
Bolivia <1%
$71,801 Vol.
$71,801 Vol.

No Replacement
96%

Other
3%

Italy
1%

Bolivia
<1%

UAE
<1%
If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 24, 2026, 4:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If an unlisted men’s national team is officially announced to replace Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, this market will resolve to “Other”
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no confirmation that any team will replace Iran within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No Replacement”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...FIFA officials, including President Gianni Infantino, have repeatedly confirmed Iran's participation in the 2026 World Cup despite U.S.-Iran tensions and travel concerns, with the team securing a Mexico base camp and group-stage fixtures intact. Italy's sports minister rejected any replacement proposal as inappropriate, noting qualification occurs on the pitch, while FIFA sources dismissed the idea outright. No formal withdrawal or FIFA disciplinary action has materialized, and alternatives like the UAE or Bolivia lack procedural standing under confederation rules. This official stance underpins the market's strong consensus on no change. A late Iranian pullout due to escalating geopolitical issues remains the primary scenario that could reopen discussion, though recent ticket and logistics updates show continued preparation.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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