Alexander Volkanovski anchors the current trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Featherweight champion following his unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes in the February 2026 rematch. The Australian veteran’s experience, elite striking, and proven ability to handle top contenders in five-round title fights continue to drive his lead. Movsar Evloev sits at 30.5% on the strength of his undefeated record and recent main-event performances positioning him as the clearest next challenger. Lower-priced outcomes such as Jean Silva and Lerone Murphy reflect limited recent momentum against the division’s upper tier. With Volkanovski at 37, sustained health and upcoming matchmaking remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertAlexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 31%
Jean Silva 3.5%
Arnold Allen 3.2%
$13,404 Vol.
$13,404 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
54%
Movsar Evloev
29%
Jean Silva
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Lerone Murphy
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
2%
Diego Lopes
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski 63%
Movsar Evloev 31%
Jean Silva 3.5%
Arnold Allen 3.2%
$13,404 Vol.
$13,404 Vol.
Alexander Volkanovski
54%
Movsar Evloev
29%
Jean Silva
4%
Arnold Allen
3%
Lerone Murphy
3%
Steve Garcia
3%
Aljamain Sterling
2%
Diego Lopes
1%
Brian Ortega
1%
Yair Rodriguez
<1%
Youssef Zalal
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 6:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexander Volkanovski anchors the current trader consensus at 55.5% implied probability as the reigning UFC Featherweight champion following his unanimous decision victory over Diego Lopes in the February 2026 rematch. The Australian veteran’s experience, elite striking, and proven ability to handle top contenders in five-round title fights continue to drive his lead. Movsar Evloev sits at 30.5% on the strength of his undefeated record and recent main-event performances positioning him as the clearest next challenger. Lower-priced outcomes such as Jean Silva and Lerone Murphy reflect limited recent momentum against the division’s upper tier. With Volkanovski at 37, sustained health and upcoming matchmaking remain the primary variables that could shift probabilities before the end of 2026.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen