Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by Carlos Alcaraz's shock withdrawal from the French Open on April 24 due to a right wrist injury, derailing his bid after winning the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic—the first step toward joining Rod Laver as the only Open Era man to sweep all four majors in a year. With Roland Garros underway and no other ATP top seed holding two 2026 Grand Slam wins, the field's depth, surface transitions from clay to grass at Wimbledon and hard courts at the US Open, plus injury volatility and historical rarity, cement the barriers. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen dominant run by Jannik Sinner or another contender winning the remaining trio without falter, though fatigue and matchups make this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$334,175 Vol.
$334,175 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Keine
99%
Carlos Alcaraz
1%
$334,175 Vol.
$334,175 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Keine
$164,110 Vol.
99%
Carlos Alcaraz
$75,934 Vol.
1%
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by Carlos Alcaraz's shock withdrawal from the French Open on April 24 due to a right wrist injury, derailing his bid after winning the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic—the first step toward joining Rod Laver as the only Open Era man to sweep all four majors in a year. With Roland Garros underway and no other ATP top seed holding two 2026 Grand Slam wins, the field's depth, surface transitions from clay to grass at Wimbledon and hard courts at the US Open, plus injury volatility and historical rarity, cement the barriers. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen dominant run by Jannik Sinner or another contender winning the remaining trio without falter, though fatigue and matchups make this improbable.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Volumen
$334,175Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by Carlos Alcaraz's shock withdrawal from the French Open on April 24 due to a right wrist injury, derailing his bid after winning the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic—the first step toward joining Rod Laver as the only Open Era man to sweep all four majors in a year. With Roland Garros underway and no other ATP top seed holding two 2026 Grand Slam wins, the field's depth, surface transitions from clay to grass at Wimbledon and hard courts at the US Open, plus injury volatility and historical rarity, cement the barriers. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen dominant run by Jannik Sinner or another contender winning the remaining trio without falter, though fatigue and matchups make this improbable.
This is a market to predict who will win a men's tennis Calendar Grand Slam in 2026.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market resolves to the single male player who wins the Men’s Singles titles at all four Grand Slam tournaments in 2026. The relevant 2026 Grand Slams are the Men’s Singles tournaments in the 2026 Australian Open, French Open, U.S. Open, and Wimbledon.
For the purpose of this market, a tournament victory is valid regardless of whether the final was won via a walkover, a mid-match retirement, or a standard completed match.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 (e.g. Alcaraz does not win the 2026 Australian Open) this market will resolve immediately to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for anyone to achieve a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 this market will resolve immediately to "None".
Otherwise, this market will resolve when the results of the final 2026 Grand Slam are official.
If any of the 2026 Grand Slam Men’s Singles Tournaments are cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “None”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the organizers of the Grand Slam tournaments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$334,175Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 6, 2026, 2:43 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors no player achieving a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026 at 99.5% implied probability, driven by Carlos Alcaraz's shock withdrawal from the French Open on April 24 due to a right wrist injury, derailing his bid after winning the Australian Open title against Novak Djokovic—the first step toward joining Rod Laver as the only Open Era man to sweep all four majors in a year. With Roland Garros underway and no other ATP top seed holding two 2026 Grand Slam wins, the field's depth, surface transitions from clay to grass at Wimbledon and hard courts at the US Open, plus injury volatility and historical rarity, cement the barriers. A realistic upset would require an unforeseen dominant run by Jannik Sinner or another contender winning the remaining trio without falter, though fatigue and matchups make this improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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