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Politik·New York City

Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?

icon for Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?
Politik·New York City

Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?

NEU
31. Mai 2026
Polymarket

$2,708 Vol.

Polymarket

May 19

$381 Vol.

98%

May 20

$287 Vol.

98%

May 21

$334 Vol.

98%

May 22

$341 Vol.

98%

May 23

$329 Vol.

98%

May 24

$579 Vol.

99%

May 31

$457 Vol.

98%

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing approximately 3,500 Long Island Rail Road workers produced a contract agreement on May 19, 2026, after a three-day strike that began May 16 when talks collapsed over wage adjustments and healthcare premium contributions. The settlement, reached under pressure from state leadership, enables service resumption at noon on Tuesday and satisfies core union goals including a 5 percent raise for 2026. This outcome follows months of stalled bargaining and highlights the rapid economic effects on more than 250,000 daily commuters, consistent with precedents where brief rail disruptions accelerate resolutions. Ratification processes and any final implementation steps remain as potential variables for market assessments.

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.

A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.

An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,708
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Negotiations between the Metropolitan Transportation Authority and five unions representing approximately 3,500 Long Island Rail Road workers produced a contract agreement on May 19, 2026, after a three-day strike that began May 16 when talks collapsed over wage adjustments and healthcare premium contributions. The settlement, reached under pressure from state leadership, enables service resumption at noon on Tuesday and satisfies core union goals including a 5 percent raise for 2026. This outcome follows months of stalled bargaining and highlights the rapid economic effects on more than 250,000 daily commuters, consistent with precedents where brief rail disruptions accelerate resolutions. Ratification processes and any final implementation steps remain as potential variables for market assessments.

On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide.

A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count.

An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$2,708
Enddatum
31. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
May 18, 2026, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
On May 16, 2026, Long Island Rail Road workers represented by five unions began a strike against the Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA), halting LIRR service systemwide. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Long Island Rail Road strike ends by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The strike will be considered to have ended if an agreement is reached between the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions for the striking LIRR workers to return to work systemwide, or if it is otherwise announced by the MTA or the relevant striking LIRR unions that the strike has ended and the striking LIRR workers are returning to work systemwide. A tentative or conditional agreement in which the LIRR workers return to work while negotiations are ongoing will count. Negotiations or agreements which do not include an agreement for the LIRR workers to return to work will not impact this market’s resolution. Negotiations, agreements or announcements allowing for specific subsets of the striking LIRR workers to return to work, but indicate that the strike is still ongoing, will not count. An official announcement of a qualifying agreement or the end of the strike within this market’s timeframe will suffice to resolve this market to “Yes” regardless of when the agreement will go into effect or when the LIRR workers will return to work. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the MTA and the relevant striking LIRR unions; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 7 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „May 24" mit 99%, gefolgt von „May 19" mit 98%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 99¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am May 18, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Will the Long Island Rail Road strike end by...?" ist „May 24" mit 99%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 99% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „May 19" mit 98%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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