Trump’s non-committal statements that he has “not thought about” a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, combined with Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s May 2026 Senate testimony that the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, have reinforced trader expectations against action by December 2026. Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined her petition in late 2025, leaving only executive clemency, yet a unanimous Senate resolution opposed any relief tied to her sex-trafficking conviction. Bipartisan concerns over reputational damage, survivor advocacy, and the Epstein connection have sustained the 94.5% implied probability on “No,” with analysts noting such a move would carry significant political costs absent new developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
6% Chance
$748,220 Vol.
$748,220 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
Ja
6% Chance
$748,220 Vol.
$748,220 Vol.
30. Dez. 2026
3.25 % verdienen
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s non-committal statements that he has “not thought about” a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, combined with Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s May 2026 Senate testimony that the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, have reinforced trader expectations against action by December 2026. Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined her petition in late 2025, leaving only executive clemency, yet a unanimous Senate resolution opposed any relief tied to her sex-trafficking conviction. Bipartisan concerns over reputational damage, survivor advocacy, and the Epstein connection have sustained the 94.5% implied probability on “No,” with analysts noting such a move would carry significant political costs absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ET
Volumen
$748,220Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump’s non-committal statements that he has “not thought about” a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, combined with Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s May 2026 Senate testimony that the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, have reinforced trader expectations against action by December 2026. Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined her petition in late 2025, leaving only executive clemency, yet a unanimous Senate resolution opposed any relief tied to her sex-trafficking conviction. Bipartisan concerns over reputational damage, survivor advocacy, and the Epstein connection have sustained the 94.5% implied probability on “No,” with analysts noting such a move would carry significant political costs absent new developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$748,220Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 23, 2025, 1:17 AM ETAbwickler
0x157Ce2d67...Trump’s non-committal statements that he has “not thought about” a pardon for Ghislaine Maxwell, combined with Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche’s May 2026 Senate testimony that the Justice Department would not recommend clemency, have reinforced trader expectations against action by December 2026. Maxwell’s appeals were exhausted after the Supreme Court declined her petition in late 2025, leaving only executive clemency, yet a unanimous Senate resolution opposed any relief tied to her sex-trafficking conviction. Bipartisan concerns over reputational damage, survivor advocacy, and the Epstein connection have sustained the 94.5% implied probability on “No,” with analysts noting such a move would carry significant political costs absent new developments.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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