Ukrainian forces face entrenched Russian positions in Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, where Russian troops have used small-group infiltrations and incremental advances to maintain pressure throughout 2026. Recent DeepState reports note continued Russian gains near the village as of early September, while Ukrainian units in the sector focus on defensive actions and disrupting logistics rather than large-scale counterattacks. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive, announced in mid-September, has cleared Russian infiltrators and liberated territory north of Lyman—disrupting Moscow’s attempts to encircle the Fortress Belt—but these gains lie in a separate axis and have not yet extended to the Pokrovsk direction. Market resolution hinges on ISW maps confirming any Ukrainian recapture of Hryshyne territory by the deadline, with trader consensus reflecting Russia’s local initiative and Ukraine’s stretched resources in this sector.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertWird die Ukraine bis zum... wieder in Hryshyne einreisen?
$114,613 Vol.
30. September
7%
$114,613 Vol.
30. September
7%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 1, 2026, 3:12 PM ET
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Abwickler
0x65070BE91...Ukrainian forces face entrenched Russian positions in Hryshyne, a settlement northwest of Pokrovsk in Donetsk Oblast, where Russian troops have used small-group infiltrations and incremental advances to maintain pressure throughout 2026. Recent DeepState reports note continued Russian gains near the village as of early September, while Ukrainian units in the sector focus on defensive actions and disrupting logistics rather than large-scale counterattacks. Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi counteroffensive, announced in mid-September, has cleared Russian infiltrators and liberated territory north of Lyman—disrupting Moscow’s attempts to encircle the Fortress Belt—but these gains lie in a separate axis and have not yet extended to the Pokrovsk direction. Market resolution hinges on ISW maps confirming any Ukrainian recapture of Hryshyne territory by the deadline, with trader consensus reflecting Russia’s local initiative and Ukraine’s stretched resources in this sector.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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