Ongoing Middle East supply disruptions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict, have triggered sharp draws in global and U.S. oil inventories since late February. The latest EIA data for the week ended May 8 showed U.S. commercial crude stocks falling 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million, exceeding analyst expectations, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve also declined sharply. The IEA reports record inventory depletion of over 250 million barrels globally in March and April, with further large draws projected for May and June as production shut-ins persist and exports from the Americas rise to offset lost flows. Weekly EIA inventory reports due May 20 and beyond, along with any shifts in Hormuz shipping or OPEC+ responses, will directly influence whether reserves reach lower thresholds by the early June deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert$61,614 Vol.
375 Mio.
97%
350 Mio.
25%
325 Mio.
3%
300 Mio.
2%
275 Mio.
3%
$61,614 Vol.
375 Mio.
97%
350 Mio.
25%
325 Mio.
3%
300 Mio.
2%
275 Mio.
3%
This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 10, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before June 5, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached.
If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before June 5 2026, by June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W.
Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing Middle East supply disruptions, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid regional conflict, have triggered sharp draws in global and U.S. oil inventories since late February. The latest EIA data for the week ended May 8 showed U.S. commercial crude stocks falling 4.3 million barrels to 452.9 million, exceeding analyst expectations, while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve also declined sharply. The IEA reports record inventory depletion of over 250 million barrels globally in March and April, with further large draws projected for May and June as production shut-ins persist and exports from the Americas rise to offset lost flows. Weekly EIA inventory reports due May 20 and beyond, along with any shifts in Hormuz shipping or OPEC+ responses, will directly influence whether reserves reach lower thresholds by the early June deadline.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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